FairValue

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Portrait of Luis Milla

Luis

Milla

CMSpain · Getafe CF

№ 281989Established €4.3M −0.21

Close-up

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierLaLiga

LuisMilla

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Getafe CF
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Spain
Age
31
Height
175 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Milla at €3.5M. Model A, which never saw Milla during training, estimates €4.3M: the market value is 19% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.23. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.1M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.21A €4.3M▲ +0.12B €3.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
74
Minutes
6,463
Goals
2
Assists
14
Started
71/74
Min / app
87
Cards
10Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Milla…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3.5MModel A €4.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Luis Milla's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 23rd, Assists per 90 83rd, Minutes, two years 97th, Starts 95th, Minutes, last 365 days 96th, European club minutes 30th23rdGoals83rdAssists97thMinutes95thStarts96thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

6,463 this player2,607 midfielder median97th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,624

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
Jul 2016
Peak
€6M
Mar 2022
Model target
€3.5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
31
6 club changes
Jun 2026€3.5MGetafe CFValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €3.5M, Getafe CF. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-07-01€200kAD Alcorcón
2016-10-27€150kCF Fuenlabrada
2017-02-02€200kCF Fuenlabrada
2017-06-30€300kAD Alcorcón
2018-01-01€300kCF Fuenlabrada
2018-05-30€300kCD Tenerife
2018-09-17€400kCD Tenerife
2018-10-17€600kCD Tenerife
2019-02-19€700kCD Tenerife
2019-06-29€4MCD Tenerife
2019-12-20€2MCD Tenerife
2020-04-08€1.6MCD Tenerife
2020-07-23€1MCD Tenerife
2020-10-08€5MGranada CF
2021-01-05€5MGranada CF
2021-06-10€4MGranada CF
2021-12-30€4MGranada CF
2022-03-21€6MGranada CF
2022-06-03€5MGranada CF
2022-09-23€4MGetafe CF
2022-11-07€5MGetafe CF
2023-06-13€4MGetafe CF
2023-10-13€2.5MGetafe CF
2023-12-22€2.5MGetafe CF
2024-03-21€3.5MGetafe CF
2024-06-07€3.5MGetafe CF
2024-12-27€3.5MGetafe CF
2025-06-09€3.5MGetafe CF
2025-10-02€4MGetafe CF
2025-12-12€3.5MGetafe CF
2026-06-05€3.5MGetafe CF

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.206

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 47% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 59% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Milla appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).