FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Florian

Neuhaus

CMGermany · Borussia Mönchengladbach

№ 278332Established €1.6M +0.45

Player dossierBundesliga

FlorianNeuhaus

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Borussia Mönchengladbach
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
Germany
Age
29
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
27 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Neuhaus at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Neuhaus during training, estimates €1.6M: the market value is 56% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.56. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €839k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.45A €1.6M▲ +1.09B €839k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
37
Minutes
1,389
Goals
0
Assists
2
Started
14/37
Min / app
38
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Neuhaus…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.5MModel A €1.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Florian Neuhaus's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 10th, Assists per 90 64th, Minutes, two years 22nd, Starts 10th, Minutes, last 365 days 30th, European club minutes 30th10thGoals64thAssists22ndMinutes10thStarts30thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.13 this player0.09 midfielder median64th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jul 2016
Peak
€38M
Feb 2021
Model target
€2.5M
May 2026
Valuations
30
2 club changes
May 2026€2.5MBorussia MönchengladbachValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2.5M, Borussia Mönchengladbach. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-07-22€100kTSV 1860 Munich
2017-01-23€150kTSV 1860 Munich
2017-06-27€250kTSV 1860 Munich
2017-08-21€450kFortuna Düsseldorf
2017-10-17€800kFortuna Düsseldorf
2018-01-22€1.5MFortuna Düsseldorf
2018-06-19€3MFortuna Düsseldorf
2018-10-22€10MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2018-12-18€18MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2019-03-06€24MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2019-06-05€22MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2019-12-17€22MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2020-04-08€17.5MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2020-07-08€23MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2020-11-26€28MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2021-02-10€38MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2021-06-01€35MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2021-10-07€28MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2021-12-22€22MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2022-06-09€20MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2022-11-09€20MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2023-03-29€15MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2023-06-22€12MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2023-12-14€9MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2024-05-29€7MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2024-10-09€5MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2024-12-20€3.5MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2025-06-05€3.5MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2025-12-19€3.5MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2026-05-27€2.5MBorussia Mönchengladbach

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.446

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 25% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 51% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Neuhaus appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).