FairValue

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Portrait of Angeliño

Angeliño

LBSpain · AS Roma

№ 277179Established €9M −0.70

Close-up

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierSerie A

Angeliño

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
AS Roma
League
Serie A
Nationality
Spain
Age
29
Height
171 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Angeliño at €4.5M. Model A, which never saw Angeliño during training, estimates €9M: the market value is 50% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.01. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €6M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.70A €9M▼ −0.29B €6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
60
Minutes
4,775
Goals
4
Assists
6
Started
54/60
Min / app
80
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Angeliño…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €4.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €4.5MModel A €9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Angeliño's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 78th, Assists per 90 80th, Minutes, two years 80th, Starts 69th, Minutes, last 365 days 10th, European club minutes 85th78thGoals80thAssists80thMinutes69thStarts10thRecent85thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

21% this player0% defender median85th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Jan 2017
Peak
€35M
Feb 2021
Model target
€4.5M
May 2026
Valuations
30
8 club changes
May 2026€4.5MAS RomaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €4.5M, AS Roma. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-01-24€300kGirona FC
2017-06-29€500kRCD Mallorca
2018-01-17€800kNAC Breda
2018-03-27€1.3MNAC Breda
2018-06-12€3MNAC Breda
2018-10-04€7MPSV Eindhoven
2018-12-28€12MPSV Eindhoven
2019-06-12€16MPSV Eindhoven
2019-12-10€16MManchester City
2020-03-11€22MRB Leipzig
2020-04-08€17.5MRB Leipzig
2020-07-08€20MRB Leipzig
2020-11-26€25MRB Leipzig
2021-02-10€35MRB Leipzig
2021-06-09€35MRB Leipzig
2021-12-22€30MRB Leipzig
2022-06-09€30MRB Leipzig
2022-09-21€20MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2022-11-09€20MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2023-03-29€14MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2023-06-22€12MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2023-09-27€11MGalatasaray
2023-12-21€8MGalatasaray
2024-06-05€8MAS Roma
2024-12-18€8MAS Roma
2025-03-25€15MAS Roma
2025-06-17€20MAS Roma
2025-12-23€17MAS Roma
2026-03-24€10MAS Roma
2026-05-29€4.5MAS Roma

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.697

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 42% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€4.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 69% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€4.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Angeliño appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).