FairValue

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Portrait of Chris Führich

Chris

Führich

LWGermany · VfB Stuttgart

№ 272278Elite €19.1M −0.47

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierBundesliga

ChrisFührich

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
VfB Stuttgart
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
Germany
Age
28
Height
181 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
27 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Führich at €12M. Model A, which never saw Führich during training, estimates €19.1M: the market value is 37% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.59. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €19.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.47A €19.1M▼ −0.48B €19.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
97
Minutes
5,462
Goals
12
Assists
13
Started
63/97
Min / app
56
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Führich…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €12M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €12MModel A €19.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Chris Führich's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 35th, Assists per 90 74th, Minutes, two years 94th, Starts 60th, Minutes, last 365 days 88th, European club minutes 80th35thGoals74thAssists94thMinutes60thStarts88thRecent80thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

5,462 this player2,242 attacker median94th percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●8,788

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jul 2017
Peak
€28M
May 2024
Model target
€12M
May 2026
Valuations
26
3 club changes
May 2026€12MVfB StuttgartValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €12M, VfB Stuttgart. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-07-01€50k1.FC Köln
2018-02-03€150k1.FC Köln
2018-08-21€150k1.FC Köln
2019-01-08€150k1.FC Köln
2019-06-12€150k1.FC Köln
2020-01-21€175kBorussia Dortmund II
2020-06-22€200kBorussia Dortmund II
2020-11-18€500kSC Paderborn 07
2021-02-08€1MSC Paderborn 07
2021-03-29€1.5MSC Paderborn 07
2021-06-16€2.5MSC Paderborn 07
2021-12-22€2.5MVfB Stuttgart
2022-03-24€4MVfB Stuttgart
2022-06-09€4MVfB Stuttgart
2022-11-09€4MVfB Stuttgart
2023-06-22€4MVfB Stuttgart
2023-10-18€12MVfB Stuttgart
2023-12-14€17MVfB Stuttgart
2024-03-27€25MVfB Stuttgart
2024-05-29€28MVfB Stuttgart
2024-10-09€22MVfB Stuttgart
2024-12-20€18MVfB Stuttgart
2025-06-05€15MVfB Stuttgart
2025-10-14€12MVfB Stuttgart
2025-12-19€10MVfB Stuttgart
2026-05-27€12MVfB Stuttgart

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.466

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 70% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€12MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 79% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€12MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Führich appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).