Patrick
Cutrone
CFItaly · Parma Calcio 1913
Close-up
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierSerie A
PatrickCutrone
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- Parma Calcio 1913
- League
- Serie A
- Nationality
- Italy
- Age
- 27
- Height
- 183 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 23 Dec 2025
Reading the valuation
The market values Cutrone at €5M. Model A, which never saw Cutrone during training, estimates €3.2M: the market value is 57% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.57. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 49
- Minutes
- 2,996
- Goals
- 9
- Assists
- 5
- Started
- 34/49
- Min / app
- 61
- Cards
- 1Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Cutrone…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
69% this player59% attacker median67th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €75k
- Sept 2014
- Peak
- €30M
- Dec 2018
- Model target
- €5M
- Dec 2025
- Valuations
- 34
- 7 club changes
Dec 2025: €5M, Parma Calcio 1913. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2014-09-16 | €75k | Milan Primavera |
| 2015-03-02 | €150k | Milan Primavera |
| 2015-06-17 | €150k | Milan Primavera |
| 2016-06-08 | €300k | Milan Primavera |
| 2017-01-18 | €400k | AC Milan |
| 2017-06-08 | €500k | AC Milan |
| 2017-10-13 | €3M | AC Milan |
| 2017-12-29 | €7M | AC Milan |
| 2018-03-24 | €20M | AC Milan |
| 2018-06-07 | €23M | AC Milan |
| 2018-12-20 | €30M | AC Milan |
| 2019-06-06 | €28M | AC Milan |
| 2019-09-12 | €25M | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 2019-12-10 | €20M | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 2020-03-03 | €17M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2020-04-08 | €15.5M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2020-08-25 | €15.5M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2020-12-29 | €12M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2021-03-19 | €10M | Valencia CF |
| 2021-06-10 | €9M | Valencia CF |
| 2021-10-14 | €7M | FC Empoli |
| 2021-12-28 | €6M | FC Empoli |
| 2022-03-15 | €4.5M | FC Empoli |
| 2022-06-07 | €3.5M | FC Empoli |
| 2022-09-27 | €3M | Como 1907 |
| 2022-12-22 | €2.5M | Como 1907 |
| 2023-06-12 | €2.5M | Como 1907 |
| 2023-12-27 | €2.5M | Como 1907 |
| 2024-03-25 | €3M | Como 1907 |
| 2024-06-03 | €5M | Como 1907 |
| 2024-10-18 | €7M | Como 1907 |
| 2024-12-18 | €7M | Como 1907 |
| 2025-06-17 | €6M | Como 1907 |
| 2025-12-23 | €5M | Parma Calcio 1913 |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.449
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Serie A507 players · median €5.5M
Valued above 45% of the 507 Serie A players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 64% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Cutrone appears
- TerminalSerie A in the Player Explorer
- TerminalSerie A on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- PolitanoRWSSC Napoli · Serie A€5M
- DybalaSSAS Roma · Serie A€5M
- MartínLBGenoa CFC · Serie A€5M
- CarlosCBComo 1907 · Serie A€5M
- WoodCFNottingham Forest · attackers€5M
- SaïdSSRC Lens · attackers€5M
- ThauvinRWRC Lens · attackers€5M
- DespodovRWPAOK Thessaloniki · attackers€5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).