Davide
Calabria
RBItaly · Panathinaikos
Player dossierSuper League
DavideCalabria
RBRight-BackDefender
- Club
- Panathinaikos
- League
- Super League
- Nationality
- Italy
- Age
- 29
- Height
- 176 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 4 Jun 2026
Super LeagueReading the valuation
The market values Calabria at €4.5M. Model A, which never saw Calabria during training, estimates €4.1M: the market value is 8% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.08. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.7M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 60
- Minutes
- 4,080
- Goals
- 4
- Assists
- 6
- Started
- 46/60
- Min / app
- 68
- Cards
- 13Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Calabria…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €4.5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
27% this player0% defender median92nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €75k
- Oct 2013
- Peak
- €25M
- Mar 2021
- Model target
- €4.5M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 35
- 3 club changes
Jun 2026: €4.5M, Panathinaikos. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2013-10-31 | €75k | Milan Primavera |
| 2014-05-18 | €125k | Milan Primavera |
| 2015-06-17 | €150k | Milan Primavera |
| 2015-11-05 | €700k | AC Milan |
| 2016-01-04 | €800k | AC Milan |
| 2016-07-15 | €1M | AC Milan |
| 2016-10-14 | €2.5M | AC Milan |
| 2016-12-30 | €2.5M | AC Milan |
| 2017-06-08 | €4M | AC Milan |
| 2017-12-29 | €5M | AC Milan |
| 2018-03-24 | €10M | AC Milan |
| 2018-06-07 | €13M | AC Milan |
| 2018-12-20 | €17M | AC Milan |
| 2019-03-01 | €20M | AC Milan |
| 2019-06-06 | €20M | AC Milan |
| 2019-10-08 | €18M | AC Milan |
| 2019-12-12 | €15M | AC Milan |
| 2020-03-03 | €12M | AC Milan |
| 2020-04-08 | €9.5M | AC Milan |
| 2020-08-25 | €10M | AC Milan |
| 2020-12-29 | €18M | AC Milan |
| 2021-03-23 | €25M | AC Milan |
| 2021-06-03 | €25M | AC Milan |
| 2021-12-28 | €25M | AC Milan |
| 2022-06-07 | €25M | AC Milan |
| 2022-11-11 | €25M | AC Milan |
| 2023-03-21 | €20M | AC Milan |
| 2023-06-15 | €20M | AC Milan |
| 2023-12-20 | €15M | AC Milan |
| 2024-06-05 | €13M | AC Milan |
| 2024-10-18 | €10M | AC Milan |
| 2024-12-18 | €7.5M | AC Milan |
| 2025-06-17 | €4.5M | Bologna FC 1909 |
| 2025-12-12 | €4.5M | Panathinaikos |
| 2026-06-04 | €4.5M | Panathinaikos |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.081
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Super League356 players · median €600k
Valued above 92% of the 356 Super League players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 69% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Calabria appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- ŚwiderskiCFPanathinaikos · Super League€4.5M
- CerinCMPanathinaikos · Super League€4.5M
- RotaRBAEK Athens · Super League€4.5M
- KaabiCFOlympiacos Piraeus · Super League€4.5M
- StarfeltCBCelta de Vigo · defenders€4.5M
- AngeliñoLBAS Roma · defenders€4.5M
- TsimikasLBAS Roma · defenders€4.5M
- PellegriniLBSS Lazio · defenders€4.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).