FairValue

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Conor

McMenamin

LWNorthern Ireland · St. Mirren FC

№ 260100Emerging €147k −0.38

Player dossierPremiership

ConorMcMenamin

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
St. Mirren FC
League
Premiership
Nationality
Northern Ireland
Age
30
Height
183 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
20 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values McMenamin at €100k. Model A, which never saw McMenamin during training, estimates €147k: the market value is 32% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.47. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €659k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.38A €147k▼ −1.88B €659k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
34
Minutes
1,725
Goals
3
Assists
2
Started
18/34
Min / app
51
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for McMenamin…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €100k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €100kModel A €147k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Conor McMenamin's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 25th, Assists per 90 34th, Minutes, two years 37th, Starts 40th, Minutes, last 365 days 48th, European club minutes 28th25thGoals34thAssists37thMinutes40thStarts48thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

1,257 this player1,301 attacker median48th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,703

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€175k
Sept 2021
Peak
€250k
Jun 2022
Model target
€100k
May 2026
Valuations
11
1 club change
May 2026€100kSt. Mirren FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €100k, St. Mirren FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-09-27€175kGlentoran FC
2022-06-21€250kGlentoran FC
2022-12-11€250kGlentoran FC
2023-05-23€250kGlentoran FC
2023-09-22€180kSt. Mirren FC
2023-12-05€150kSt. Mirren FC
2024-05-30€150kSt. Mirren FC
2024-12-03€150kSt. Mirren FC
2025-06-17€150kSt. Mirren FC
2025-12-10€150kSt. Mirren FC
2026-05-20€100kSt. Mirren FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.383

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premiership311 players · median €400k

Valued above 7% of the 311 Premiership players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€100kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 1% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€100kSee them in the Explorer →

Where McMenamin appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).