FairValue

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Domingos

Duarte

CBPortugal · Getafe CF

№ 257376Emerging €3.2M −1.38

Player dossierLaLiga

DomingosDuarte

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Getafe CF
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Portugal
Age
31
Height
192 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Duarte at €800k. Model A, which never saw Duarte during training, estimates €3.2M: the market value is 75% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×3.96. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −1.38A €3.2M▼ −1.44B €3.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
62
Minutes
5,342
Goals
2
Assists
1
Started
60/62
Min / app
86
Cards
17Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Duarte…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €800kModel A €3.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Domingos Duarte's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 52nd, Assists per 90 36th, Minutes, two years 87th, Starts 89th, Minutes, last 365 days 89th, European club minutes 30th52ndGoals36thAssists87thMinutes89thStarts89thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

97% this player83% defender median89th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€75k
Jul 2015
Peak
€12M
Jan 2021
Model target
€800k
Jun 2026
Valuations
29
5 club changes
Jun 2026€800kGetafe CFValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €800k, Getafe CF. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-07-31€75kSporting CP B
2016-03-14€400kSporting CP B
2016-07-29€600kCF Os Belenenses
2016-10-31€800kCF Os Belenenses
2017-02-22€1MCF Os Belenenses
2017-06-26€1MCF Os Belenenses
2018-02-07€1.3MGD Chaves
2018-06-13€2MGD Chaves
2019-02-19€2.5MDeportivo de La Coruña
2019-06-29€2.5MDeportivo de La Coruña
2019-09-10€3MGranada CF
2019-12-20€5MGranada CF
2020-04-08€4MGranada CF
2020-07-23€8MGranada CF
2020-10-08€10MGranada CF
2021-01-05€12MGranada CF
2021-06-10€12MGranada CF
2021-12-30€9MGranada CF
2022-06-03€8MGranada CF
2022-11-07€8MGetafe CF
2023-06-13€5MGetafe CF
2023-10-13€3MGetafe CF
2023-12-22€3MGetafe CF
2024-06-07€2MGetafe CF
2024-10-11€1MGetafe CF
2024-12-27€800kGetafe CF
2025-06-09€800kGetafe CF
2025-12-12€800kGetafe CF
2026-06-05€800kGetafe CF

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−1.376

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 5% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 29% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Duarte appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).