Domingos

Duarte

CBPortugal · Getafe CF

№ 257376Emerging €3.2M −1.38

Player dossierLaLiga

DomingosDuarte

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club: Getafe CF
League: LaLiga
Nationality: Portugal
Age: 31
Height: 192 cm
Foot: Right
Valued: 5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Duarte at €800k. Model A, which never saw Duarte during training, estimates €3.2M: the market value is 75% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×3.96. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).

Apps: 62
Minutes: 5,342
Goals: 2
Assists: 1
Started: 60/62
Min / app: 86
Cards: 17Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Duarte…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k

Checking API

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

97% this player83% defender median89th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation: €75k; Jul 2015
Peak: €12M; Jan 2021
Model target: €800k; Jun 2026
Valuations: 29; 5 club changes

Jun 2026€800kGetafe CFValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €800k, Getafe CF. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table

Date	Market value	Club
2015-07-31	€75k	Sporting CP B
2016-03-14	€400k	Sporting CP B
2016-07-29	€600k	CF Os Belenenses
2016-10-31	€800k	CF Os Belenenses
2017-02-22	€1M	CF Os Belenenses
2017-06-26	€1M	CF Os Belenenses
2018-02-07	€1.3M	GD Chaves
2018-06-13	€2M	GD Chaves
2019-02-19	€2.5M	Deportivo de La Coruña
2019-06-29	€2.5M	Deportivo de La Coruña
2019-09-10	€3M	Granada CF
2019-12-20	€5M	Granada CF
2020-04-08	€4M	Granada CF
2020-07-23	€8M	Granada CF
2020-10-08	€10M	Granada CF
2021-01-05	€12M	Granada CF
2021-06-10	€12M	Granada CF
2021-12-30	€9M	Granada CF
2022-06-03	€8M	Granada CF
2022-11-07	€8M	Getafe CF
2023-06-13	€5M	Getafe CF
2023-10-13	€3M	Getafe CF
2023-12-22	€3M	Getafe CF
2024-06-07	€2M	Getafe CF
2024-10-11	€1M	Getafe CF
2024-12-27	€800k	Getafe CF
2025-06-09	€800k	Getafe CF
2025-12-12	€800k	Getafe CF
2026-06-05	€800k	Getafe CF

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group: UEFA
Population gap, Model A: +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A: −1.376

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 5% of the 509 LaLiga players.

See them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 29% of the 2,065 defenders.

See them in the Explorer →

Where Duarte appears

TerminalLaLiga in the Player Explorer
TerminalLaLiga on the League Landscape

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).