Dan
Barlaser
DMEngland · Hibernian FC
Player dossierPremiership
DanBarlaser
DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Hibernian FC
- League
- Premiership
- Nationality
- England
- Age
- 29
- Height
- 184 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 20 May 2026
PremiershipReading the valuation
The market values Barlaser at €1.2M. Model A, which never saw Barlaser during training, estimates €573k: the market value is 110% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.10. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €701k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 31
- Minutes
- 2,327
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 3
- Started
- 28/31
- Min / app
- 75
- Cards
- 4Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Barlaser…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.2M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
90% this player69% midfielder median87th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €250k
- Oct 2020
- Peak
- €2.2M
- Dec 2023
- Model target
- €1.2M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 14
- 2 club changes
May 2026: €1.2M, Hibernian FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-10-15 | €250k | Rotherham United |
| 2020-12-22 | €1.5M | Rotherham United |
| 2021-03-10 | €1.8M | Rotherham United |
| 2021-06-30 | €1.2M | Rotherham United |
| 2022-06-30 | €1.4M | Rotherham United |
| 2022-09-14 | €1.8M | Rotherham United |
| 2022-10-27 | €2M | Rotherham United |
| 2023-06-01 | €2M | Middlesbrough FC |
| 2023-12-21 | €2.2M | Middlesbrough FC |
| 2024-05-24 | €2.2M | Middlesbrough FC |
| 2024-12-30 | €2.2M | Middlesbrough FC |
| 2025-05-27 | €2M | Middlesbrough FC |
| 2025-12-10 | €1.8M | Hibernian FC |
| 2026-05-20 | €1.2M | Hibernian FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.740
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premiership311 players · median €400k
Valued above 76% of the 311 Premiership players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 35% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Barlaser appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- McGrathAMHibernian FC · Premiership€1.2M
- NisbetCFAberdeen FC · Premiership€1.2M
- SteinwenderCBHeart of Midlothian FC · Premiership€1.2M
- YouanLWHibernian FC · Premiership€1.2M
- WitselDMGirona FC · midfielders€1.2M
- HendersonDMBrentford FC · midfielders€1.2M
- CabellaAMFC Nantes · midfielders€1.2M
- OzdoevDMPAOK Thessaloniki · midfielders€1.2M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).