FairValue

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Bruno

Petkovic

CFCroatia · Kocaelispor

№ 256358Emerging €1.1M +0.28

Player dossierSüper Lig

BrunoPetkovic

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Kocaelispor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Croatia
Age
31
Height
193 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Petkovic at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Petkovic during training, estimates €1.1M: the market value is 32% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.32. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €750k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.28A €1.1M▲ +0.69B €750k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
23
Minutes
1,674
Goals
9
Assists
0
Started
19/23
Min / app
73
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Petkovic…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €1.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Bruno Petkovic's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 86th, Assists per 90 6th, Minutes, two years 36th, Starts 86th, Minutes, last 365 days 52nd, European club minutes 84th86thGoals6thAssists36thMinutes86thStarts52ndRecent84thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

83% this player59% attacker median86th percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jan 2013
Peak
€13.5M
Dec 2019
Model target
€1.5M
May 2026
Valuations
33
8 club changes
May 2026€1.5MKocaelisporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.5M, Kocaelispor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-01-24€50kCatania Primavera
2013-06-04€200kCatania Primavera
2014-01-07€400kCalcio Catania
2014-07-01€400kCalcio Catania
2015-06-22€375kAC Reggiana 1919
2015-12-28€350kVirtus Entella
2016-06-13€1.2MTrapani Calcio
2016-12-19€1.2MTrapani Calcio
2017-06-08€1.2MBologna FC 1909
2017-12-29€1.2MBologna FC 1909
2018-06-07€1MHellas Verona
2018-09-25€850kGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2019-03-11€3MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2019-09-16€8MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2019-12-27€13.5MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2020-04-08€11MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2020-07-27€11MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2020-12-28€11MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2021-05-28€12MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2021-12-30€9MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2022-03-22€7MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2022-06-06€6MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2022-11-08€6MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2023-06-06€5MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2023-12-18€5MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2024-06-04€5MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2024-12-23€4MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2025-03-31€3.5MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2025-06-09€3MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2025-10-01€2.8MKocaelispor
2025-12-17€2.5MKocaelispor
2026-03-05€2MKocaelispor
2026-05-21€1.5MKocaelispor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.279

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 52% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 37% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Petkovic appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).