FairValue

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Portrait of Emil Audero

Emil

Audero

GKIndonesia · US Cremonese

№ 256339Established €4.4M −0.45

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierSerie A

EmilAudero

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
US Cremonese
League
Serie A
Nationality
Indonesia
Age
29
Height
192 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Audero at €2.8M. Model A, which never saw Audero during training, estimates €4.4M: the market value is 36% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.57. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.9M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.45A €4.4M▼ −0.32B €3.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
43
Minutes
3,870
Started
43/43
Min / app
90
Cards
0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Audero…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.8MModel A €4.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Emil Audero's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 66th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 83rd, European club minutes 32nd66thMinutes62ndStarts83rdRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

3,150 this player1,560 goalkeeper median83rd percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,970

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Oct 2013
Peak
€15M
Mar 2019
Model target
€2.8M
May 2026
Valuations
29
7 club changes
May 2026€2.8MUS CremoneseValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2.8M, US Cremonese. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-10-25€100kJuventus Primavera
2014-06-24€100kJuventus Primavera
2015-06-17€175kJuventus Primavera
2016-01-04€200kJuventus FC
2016-07-15€300kJuventus FC
2017-01-02€300kJuventus FC
2017-06-08€500kJuventus FC
2017-12-21€1.3MVenezia FC
2018-06-18€3MVenezia FC
2018-10-12€5MUC Sampdoria
2018-12-20€8MUC Sampdoria
2019-03-01€15MUC Sampdoria
2019-06-06€15MUC Sampdoria
2019-12-12€15MUC Sampdoria
2020-04-08€12MUC Sampdoria
2020-08-25€10MUC Sampdoria
2020-12-29€10MUC Sampdoria
2021-06-03€14MUC Sampdoria
2021-12-28€12MUC Sampdoria
2022-03-15€7MUC Sampdoria
2022-06-07€6MUC Sampdoria
2022-11-11€6MUC Sampdoria
2023-06-15€6MUC Sampdoria
2023-12-20€6MInter Milan
2024-06-05€5MInter Milan
2024-12-18€5MComo 1907
2025-06-02€3.2MPalermo FC
2025-12-23€3.2MUS Cremonese
2026-05-29€2.8MUS Cremonese

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.452

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 28% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€2.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 67% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Audero appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).