Nicolò
Barella
CMItaly · Inter Milan
Close-up
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierSerie A
NicolòBarella
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Inter Milan
- League
- Serie A
- Nationality
- Italy
- Age
- 29
- Height
- 175 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 29 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Barella at €50M. Model A, which never saw Barella during training, estimates €34.9M: the market value is 43% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.43. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €31.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 99
- Minutes
- 7,447
- Goals
- 6
- Assists
- 18
- Started
- 87/99
- Min / app
- 75
- Cards
- 16Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Barella…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €50M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Minutes, two years
Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.
7,447 this player2,607 midfielder median99th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Feb 2013
- Peak
- €80M
- Jun 2024
- Model target
- €50M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 37
- 4 club changes
May 2026: €50M, Inter Milan. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2013-02-25 | €50k | Cagliari Primavera |
| 2013-04-29 | €150k | Cagliari Primavera |
| 2013-10-30 | €200k | Cagliari Primavera |
| 2014-05-08 | €200k | Cagliari Primavera |
| 2015-01-07 | €500k | Cagliari Calcio |
| 2015-06-30 | €800k | Cagliari Calcio |
| 2015-12-28 | €800k | Cagliari Calcio |
| 2016-06-13 | €1.3M | Calcio Como |
| 2016-10-14 | €1.8M | Cagliari Calcio |
| 2017-01-02 | €2.5M | Cagliari Calcio |
| 2017-03-28 | €4M | Cagliari Calcio |
| 2017-06-08 | €5M | Cagliari Calcio |
| 2017-10-13 | €8M | Cagliari Calcio |
| 2017-12-29 | €15M | Cagliari Calcio |
| 2018-03-24 | €20M | Cagliari Calcio |
| 2018-06-07 | €25M | Cagliari Calcio |
| 2018-10-12 | €30M | Cagliari Calcio |
| 2018-12-20 | €30M | Cagliari Calcio |
| 2019-06-06 | €36M | Cagliari Calcio |
| 2019-12-12 | €45M | Inter Milan |
| 2020-04-08 | €36M | Inter Milan |
| 2020-08-25 | €50M | Inter Milan |
| 2020-12-29 | €55M | Inter Milan |
| 2021-03-23 | €60M | Inter Milan |
| 2021-05-25 | €65M | Inter Milan |
| 2021-12-28 | €70M | Inter Milan |
| 2022-06-07 | €70M | Inter Milan |
| 2022-11-11 | €70M | Inter Milan |
| 2023-06-15 | €75M | Inter Milan |
| 2023-12-20 | €75M | Inter Milan |
| 2024-06-05 | €80M | Inter Milan |
| 2024-12-18 | €80M | Inter Milan |
| 2025-06-17 | €75M | Inter Milan |
| 2025-10-07 | €65M | Inter Milan |
| 2025-12-23 | €60M | Inter Milan |
| 2026-03-24 | €50M | Inter Milan |
| 2026-05-29 | €50M | Inter Milan |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.361
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Serie A507 players · median €5.5M
Joint 6th highest observed value among 507 Serie A players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 97% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Barella appears
- TerminalSerie A in the Player Explorer
- TerminalSerie A on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- DimarcoLBInter Milan · Serie A€50M
- ThuramCFInter Milan · Serie A€50M
- LeãoLWAC Milan · Serie A€50M
- BisseckCBInter Milan · Serie A€50M
- RodriDMManchester City · midfielders€50M
- NmechaCMBorussia Dortmund · midfielders€50M
- ReijndersCMManchester City · midfielders€50M
- KonéCMAS Roma · midfielders€50M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).