FairValue

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Portrait of Cameron Burgess

Cameron

Burgess

CBAustralia · Swansea City

№ 255788Emerging €1.6M −0.08

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

CameronBurgess

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Swansea City
League
Premier League
Nationality
Australia
Age
30
Height
194 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Burgess at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Burgess during training, estimates €1.6M: the market value is 7% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.08. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €801k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.08A €1.6M▲ +0.63B €801k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
27
Minutes
2,247
Goals
2
Assists
3
Started
24/27
Min / app
83
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Burgess…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €1.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Cameron Burgess's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 80th, Assists per 90 82nd, Minutes, two years 39th, Starts 66th, Minutes, last 365 days 9th, European club minutes 30th80thGoals82ndAssists39thMinutes66thStarts9thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.12 this player0.04 defender median82nd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€500k
Aug 2014
Peak
€2.5M
Dec 2024
Model target
€1.5M
May 2026
Valuations
13
4 club changes
May 2026€1.5MSwansea CityValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.5M, Swansea City. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-08-19€500kFulham FC
2015-09-24€350kFulham FC
2016-10-11€350kOldham Athletic
2017-10-24€250kScunthorpe United
2022-07-29€500kIpswich Town
2023-04-05€500kIpswich Town
2023-06-09€500kIpswich Town
2023-12-21€1MIpswich Town
2024-05-24€1.5MIpswich Town
2024-12-16€2.5MIpswich Town
2025-05-30€2MIpswich Town
2025-12-03€1.8MSwansea City
2026-05-28€1.5MSwansea City

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.075

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 7% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 43% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Burgess appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).