FairValue

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Iñaki

Williams

RWGhana · Athletic Bilbao

№ 255508Established €3.9M +0.71

Player dossierLaLiga

IñakiWilliams

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Athletic Bilbao
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Ghana
Age
31
Height
186 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Williams at €8M. Model A, which never saw Williams during training, estimates €3.9M: the market value is 103% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.03. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €6.2M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.71A €3.9M▲ +0.26B €6.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
89
Minutes
6,556
Goals
15
Assists
15
Started
75/89
Min / app
74
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Williams…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €8MModel A €3.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Iñaki Williams's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 37th, Assists per 90 72nd, Minutes, two years 98th, Starts 88th, Minutes, last 365 days 91st, European club minutes 80th37thGoals72ndAssists98thMinutes88thStarts91stRecent80thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

6,556 this player2,242 attacker median98th percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●8,788

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€1M
Jan 2015
Peak
€50M
Jun 2019
Model target
€8M
Jun 2026
Valuations
29
1 club change
Jun 2026€8MAthletic BilbaoValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €8M, Athletic Bilbao. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-01-23€1MBilbao Athletic
2015-04-09€2.5MBilbao Athletic
2015-07-01€5MAthletic Bilbao
2015-11-22€10MAthletic Bilbao
2016-02-22€15MAthletic Bilbao
2016-07-15€20MAthletic Bilbao
2017-01-24€20MAthletic Bilbao
2017-06-05€25MAthletic Bilbao
2018-01-01€25MAthletic Bilbao
2018-03-22€30MAthletic Bilbao
2018-05-30€30MAthletic Bilbao
2018-12-21€28MAthletic Bilbao
2019-02-28€30MAthletic Bilbao
2019-06-11€50MAthletic Bilbao
2019-12-20€50MAthletic Bilbao
2020-04-08€40MAthletic Bilbao
2020-10-08€30MAthletic Bilbao
2021-01-05€25MAthletic Bilbao
2021-06-10€25MAthletic Bilbao
2021-12-30€25MAthletic Bilbao
2022-06-03€25MAthletic Bilbao
2022-11-07€25MAthletic Bilbao
2023-06-13€25MAthletic Bilbao
2023-12-22€25MAthletic Bilbao
2024-06-07€25MAthletic Bilbao
2024-12-27€20MAthletic Bilbao
2025-06-09€15MAthletic Bilbao
2025-12-12€10MAthletic Bilbao
2026-06-05€8MAthletic Bilbao

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.710

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 68% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€8MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 74% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Williams appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).