FairValue

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Iñigo

Lekue

RBSpain · Athletic Bilbao

№ 255501Emerging €1M −0.04

Player dossierLaLiga

IñigoLekue

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
Athletic Bilbao
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Spain
Age
33
Height
180 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Lekue at €1M. Model A, which never saw Lekue during training, estimates €1M: the market value is 4% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.04. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.04A €1M▼ −0.42B €1.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
40
Minutes
2,276
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
25/40
Min / app
57
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Lekue…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1MModel A €1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Iñigo Lekue's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 39th, Starts 18th, Minutes, last 365 days 35th, European club minutes 82nd18thGoals17thAssists39thMinutes18thStarts35thRecent82ndEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

18% this player0% defender median82nd percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€600k
Jul 2015
Peak
€7.5M
Jan 2018
Model target
€1M
Jun 2026
Valuations
26
1 club change
Jun 2026€1MAthletic BilbaoValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1M, Athletic Bilbao. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-07-01€600kBilbao Athletic
2016-02-22€1MBilbao Athletic
2016-04-07€2MBilbao Athletic
2016-07-15€3MAthletic Bilbao
2017-01-24€3.5MAthletic Bilbao
2017-06-05€4MAthletic Bilbao
2018-01-01€7.5MAthletic Bilbao
2018-05-30€7.5MAthletic Bilbao
2018-12-21€4MAthletic Bilbao
2019-06-11€2MAthletic Bilbao
2019-12-20€2MAthletic Bilbao
2020-04-08€1.6MAthletic Bilbao
2020-10-08€1.5MAthletic Bilbao
2021-01-05€1.5MAthletic Bilbao
2021-06-10€1.5MAthletic Bilbao
2021-10-13€2.5MAthletic Bilbao
2021-12-30€3MAthletic Bilbao
2022-06-03€3MAthletic Bilbao
2022-11-07€3MAthletic Bilbao
2023-06-13€3MAthletic Bilbao
2023-12-22€3MAthletic Bilbao
2024-06-07€3MAthletic Bilbao
2024-12-27€2.5MAthletic Bilbao
2025-06-09€2MAthletic Bilbao
2025-12-12€1.2MAthletic Bilbao
2026-06-05€1MAthletic Bilbao

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.037

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 8% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 35% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Lekue appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).