Ismael
Silva
CMBrazil · Akhmat Grozny
Player dossierPremier Liga
IsmaelSilva
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Akhmat Grozny
- League
- Premier Liga
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 31
- Height
- 172 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 26 May 2026
Premier LigaReading the valuation
The market values Silva at €800k. Model A, which never saw Silva during training, estimates €1.1M: the market value is 25% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.34. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 61
- Minutes
- 4,601
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 54/61
- Min / app
- 75
- Cards
- 16Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Silva…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
89% this player69% midfielder median85th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €250k
- Jul 2013
- Peak
- €3.8M
- Dec 2019
- Model target
- €800k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 28
- 4 club changes
May 2026: €800k, Akhmat Grozny. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2013-07-22 | €250k | Kalmar FF |
| 2014-06-26 | €400k | Kalmar FF |
| 2015-04-11 | €450k | Kalmar FF |
| 2015-06-14 | €600k | Kalmar FF |
| 2015-11-29 | €750k | Kalmar FF |
| 2016-06-17 | €800k | Kalmar FF |
| 2016-12-11 | €900k | Kalmar FF |
| 2017-06-20 | €700k | Kalmar FF |
| 2017-12-23 | €1.2M | Akhmat Grozny |
| 2018-06-06 | €2M | Akhmat Grozny |
| 2018-12-20 | €2.5M | Akhmat Grozny |
| 2019-06-14 | €3.5M | Akhmat Grozny |
| 2019-12-23 | €3.8M | Akhmat Grozny |
| 2020-04-08 | €3M | Akhmat Grozny |
| 2020-07-29 | €3M | Akhmat Grozny |
| 2020-12-29 | €3M | Akhmat Grozny |
| 2021-06-02 | €3M | Akhmat Grozny |
| 2022-01-06 | €2.5M | Al-Faisaly FC |
| 2022-06-30 | €2.5M | Al-Faisaly FC |
| 2022-12-02 | €2.5M | Al-Faisaly FC |
| 2023-03-28 | €2M | Without Club |
| 2023-10-25 | €1M | Without Club |
| 2024-03-29 | €500k | Without Club |
| 2024-12-12 | €700k | Akhmat Grozny |
| 2025-06-04 | €700k | Akhmat Grozny |
| 2025-09-18 | €1M | Akhmat Grozny |
| 2025-12-16 | €1M | Akhmat Grozny |
| 2026-05-26 | €800k | Akhmat Grozny |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.291
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liga412 players · median €1M
Valued above 33% of the 412 Premier Liga players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 27% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Silva appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- LunevGKDynamo Moscow · Premier Liga€800k
- GudievGKAkron Tolyatti · Premier Liga€800k
- BozhinCBKrylya Sovetov Samara · Premier Liga€800k
- KuzminAMAkron Tolyatti · Premier Liga€800k
- BadeljDMGenoa CFC · midfielders€800k
- CuadradoRMPisa Sporting Club · midfielders€800k
- DjuricicAMPanathinaikos · midfielders€800k
- ClasieDMAZ Alkmaar · midfielders€800k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).