FairValue

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Denys

Miroshnichenko

RBUkraine · Karpaty Lviv

№ 244262Emerging €509k −0.24

Player dossierPremier Liha

DenysMiroshnichenko

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
Karpaty Lviv
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
31
Height
178 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Miroshnichenko at €400k. Model A, which never saw Miroshnichenko during training, estimates €509k: the market value is 21% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.27. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.24A €509k▼ −1.68B €2.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
52
Minutes
4,226
Goals
2
Assists
10
Started
47/52
Min / app
81
Cards
17Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Miroshnichenko…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €400kModel A €509k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Denys Miroshnichenko's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 59th, Assists per 90 96th, Minutes, two years 73rd, Starts 70th, Minutes, last 365 days 57th, European club minutes 30th59thGoals96thAssists73rdMinutes70thStarts57thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.21 this player0.04 defender median96th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Jul 2013
Peak
€900k
Jun 2024
Model target
€400k
Jun 2026
Valuations
29
3 club changes
Jun 2026€400kKarpaty LvivValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €400k, Karpaty Lviv. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-07-11€300kKarpaty Lviv
2014-01-02€400kKarpaty Lviv
2014-06-30€400kKarpaty Lviv
2014-12-25€500kKarpaty Lviv
2015-06-07€700kKarpaty Lviv
2015-12-17€700kKarpaty Lviv
2016-07-21€700kKarpaty Lviv
2016-09-30€500kKarpaty Lviv
2017-01-03€500kKarpaty Lviv
2017-06-26€500kKarpaty Lviv
2018-01-12€500kKarpaty Lviv
2018-08-06€500kKarpaty Lviv
2018-12-10€700kKarpaty Lviv
2019-06-20€700kKarpaty Lviv
2020-01-08€800kFC Oleksandriya
2020-04-08€650kFC Oleksandriya
2020-09-04€800kFC Oleksandriya
2021-01-14€700kFC Oleksandriya
2021-06-07€600kFC Oleksandriya
2021-12-20€600kFC Oleksandriya
2022-05-18€600kFC Oleksandriya
2022-12-06€600kFC Oleksandriya
2023-06-21€700kFC Oleksandriya
2023-12-11€800kSC Dnipro-1
2024-06-06€900kSC Dnipro-1
2024-12-17€800kKarpaty Lviv
2025-06-10€800kKarpaty Lviv
2025-12-18€500kKarpaty Lviv
2026-06-02€400kKarpaty Lviv

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.240

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 40% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 14% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Miroshnichenko appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).