Paschalis
Staikos
Player dossierSuper League
PaschalisStaikos
DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- AE Larisa
- League
- Super League
- Nationality
- Greece
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 178 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 4 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Staikos at €350k. Model A, which never saw Staikos during training, estimates €525k: the market value is 33% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.50. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €663k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 38
- Minutes
- 2,603
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 35/38
- Min / app
- 69
- Cards
- 13Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Staikos…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €350k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
92% this player69% midfielder median90th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Feb 2016
- Peak
- €400k
- May 2025
- Model target
- €350k
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 22
- 3 club changes
Jun 2026: €350k, AE Larisa. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2016-02-21 | €100k | Panathinaikos |
| 2016-06-21 | €100k | Panathinaikos |
| 2016-12-21 | €100k | Panathinaikos |
| 2017-05-11 | €100k | Panathinaikos |
| 2017-12-18 | €100k | Panathinaikos |
| 2018-05-22 | €150k | Panathinaikos |
| 2018-12-07 | €250k | Panathinaikos |
| 2019-05-21 | €250k | Panathinaikos |
| 2019-12-18 | €250k | OFI Crete |
| 2020-08-04 | €300k | OFI Crete |
| 2021-02-12 | €350k | OFI Crete |
| 2021-11-01 | €300k | OFI Crete |
| 2022-06-09 | €300k | OFI Crete |
| 2022-11-07 | €300k | OFI Crete |
| 2023-02-27 | €250k | Panserraikos |
| 2023-06-19 | €250k | Panserraikos |
| 2023-12-20 | €350k | Panserraikos |
| 2024-05-30 | €350k | Panserraikos |
| 2024-12-18 | €350k | Panserraikos |
| 2025-05-23 | €400k | Panserraikos |
| 2025-12-12 | €400k | AE Larisa |
| 2026-06-04 | €350k | AE Larisa |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.405
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Super League356 players · median €600k
Valued above 25% of the 356 Super League players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 10% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Staikos appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- SagalLWAE Larisa · Super League€350k
- DeleticRWPOT Iraklis Thessaloniki · Super League€350k
- JuanpiAMVolos NFC · Super League€350k
- HannaCBLevadiakos · Super League€350k
- KovalevRMBaltika Kaliningrad · midfielders€350k
- LyonsCMKilmarnock FC · midfielders€350k
- LuísAMPanetolikos · midfielders€350k
- CeberioCMEpicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi · midfielders€350k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).