Keita
Baldé
LWSenegal · AC Monza
Player dossierSerie A
KeitaBaldé
LWLeft WingerAttack
- Club
- AC Monza
- League
- Serie A
- Nationality
- Senegal
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 178 cm
- Foot
- Both
- Valued
- 11 Dec 2025
Serie AReading the valuation
The market values Baldé at €900k. Model A, which never saw Baldé during training, estimates €1M: the market value is 11% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.12. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €510k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 22
- Minutes
- 1,076
- Goals
- 3
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 13/22
- Min / app
- 49
- Cards
- 7Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Baldé…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €900k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
59% this player59% attacker median50th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Dec 2012
- Peak
- €30M
- Jan 2018
- Model target
- €900k
- Dec 2025
- Valuations
- 33
- 10 club changes
Dec 2025: €900k, AC Monza. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2012-12-08 | €50k | Lazio U19 |
| 2013-06-10 | €300k | Lazio U19 |
| 2013-09-25 | €800k | SS Lazio |
| 2014-01-07 | €4M | SS Lazio |
| 2014-03-10 | €5.5M | SS Lazio |
| 2014-07-01 | €9M | SS Lazio |
| 2015-01-07 | €9M | SS Lazio |
| 2015-07-01 | €8.5M | SS Lazio |
| 2016-01-04 | €10M | SS Lazio |
| 2016-07-15 | €13M | SS Lazio |
| 2017-01-02 | €17M | SS Lazio |
| 2017-06-08 | €25M | SS Lazio |
| 2018-01-24 | €30M | AS Monaco |
| 2018-06-04 | €30M | AS Monaco |
| 2018-12-20 | €28M | Inter Milan |
| 2019-06-06 | €25M | Inter Milan |
| 2019-12-19 | €20M | AS Monaco |
| 2020-04-08 | €16M | AS Monaco |
| 2020-10-29 | €11M | UC Sampdoria |
| 2020-12-29 | €9M | UC Sampdoria |
| 2021-06-03 | €8M | UC Sampdoria |
| 2021-12-28 | €7M | Cagliari Calcio |
| 2022-03-15 | €5M | Cagliari Calcio |
| 2022-06-07 | €3M | Cagliari Calcio |
| 2022-11-21 | €2M | Spartak Moscow |
| 2023-06-14 | €2.5M | Spartak Moscow |
| 2023-10-13 | €2M | RCD Espanyol Barcelona |
| 2023-12-20 | €1.5M | RCD Espanyol Barcelona |
| 2024-06-24 | €1.2M | RCD Espanyol Barcelona |
| 2024-10-04 | €1M | Sivasspor |
| 2024-12-23 | €1M | Sivasspor |
| 2025-06-17 | €900k | AC Monza |
| 2025-12-11 | €900k | AC Monza |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.113
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Serie A507 players · median €5.5M
Valued above 7% of the 507 Serie A players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 28% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Baldé appears
- TerminalSerie A in the Player Explorer
- TerminalSerie A on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- TerraccianoGKAC Milan · Serie A€900k
- BiraghiLBTorino FC · Serie A€900k
- ScuffetGKPisa Sporting Club · Serie A€900k
- CandelaRBSpezia Calcio · Serie A€900k
- GiroudCFLOSC Lille · attackers€900k
- KvilitaiaCFFC Metz · attackers€900k
- KramerCFKonyaspor · attackers€900k
- ArnáizLWGranada CF · attackers€900k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).