FairValue

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Portrait of Steve Mounié

Steve

Mounié

CFBenin · Alanyaspor

№ 238639Emerging €393k +1.34

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierSüper Lig

SteveMounié

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Alanyaspor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Benin
Age
31
Height
189 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Mounié at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Mounié during training, estimates €393k: the market value is 282% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×3.82. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €848k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +1.34A €393k▲ +0.57B €848k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
39
Minutes
1,138
Goals
4
Assists
1
Started
8/39
Min / app
29
Cards
7Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Mounié…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €393k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Steve Mounié's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 60th, Assists per 90 24th, Minutes, two years 23rd, Starts 4th, Minutes, last 365 days 29th, European club minutes 28th60thGoals24thAssists23rdMinutes4thStarts29thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.32 this player0.26 attacker median60th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Aug 2014
Peak
€10M
Aug 2017
Model target
€1.5M
May 2026
Valuations
31
6 club changes
May 2026€1.5MAlanyasporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.5M, Alanyaspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-08-07€150kMontpellier HSC
2015-01-14€150kMontpellier HSC
2015-06-06€150kMontpellier HSC
2015-09-06€250kNîmes Olympique
2016-02-04€600kNîmes Olympique
2016-07-13€800kMontpellier HSC
2016-11-01€1.3MMontpellier HSC
2017-01-16€2.5MMontpellier HSC
2017-06-01€5.5MMontpellier HSC
2017-08-16€10MHuddersfield Town
2018-01-02€10MHuddersfield Town
2018-05-28€10MHuddersfield Town
2018-12-19€10MHuddersfield Town
2019-06-13€10MHuddersfield Town
2020-02-27€8MHuddersfield Town
2020-04-08€6.5MHuddersfield Town
2020-10-15€6.5MStade Brestois 29
2021-01-07€7MStade Brestois 29
2021-06-04€7MStade Brestois 29
2021-12-16€7MStade Brestois 29
2022-05-30€7MStade Brestois 29
2022-11-02€6MStade Brestois 29
2023-06-27€5MStade Brestois 29
2023-12-18€5MStade Brestois 29
2024-06-03€6MStade Brestois 29
2024-10-09€4.5MFC Augsburg
2024-12-20€3MFC Augsburg
2025-06-05€2MFC Augsburg
2025-12-17€1.8MAlanyaspor
2026-03-05€1.8MAlanyaspor
2026-05-21€1.5MAlanyaspor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+1.339

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 52% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 37% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Mounié appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).