FairValue

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Wladimiro

Falcone

GKItaly · US Lecce

№ 238537Established €3.5M −0.01

Player dossierSerie A

WladimiroFalcone

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
US Lecce
League
Serie A
Nationality
Italy
Age
31
Height
195 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Falcone at €3.5M. Model A, which never saw Falcone during training, estimates €3.5M: the market value is 1% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.01. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.01A €3.5M▼ −0.22B €4.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
78
Minutes
7,020
Started
78/78
Min / app
90
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Falcone…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3.5MModel A €3.5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Wladimiro Falcone's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 93rd, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 91st, European club minutes 32nd93rdMinutes62ndStarts91stRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

7,020 this player2,790 goalkeeper median93rd percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,210

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€75k
Oct 2012
Peak
€5M
Mar 2023
Model target
€3.5M
May 2026
Valuations
30
12 club changes
May 2026€3.5MUS LecceValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €3.5M, US Lecce. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-10-27€75kSampdoria Primavera
2013-04-10€100kSampdoria Primavera
2014-02-18€100kUC Sampdoria
2014-07-01€200kUC Sampdoria
2015-02-04€175kCalcio Como
2015-06-19€175kCalcio Como
2016-01-15€200kSavona FBC
2016-06-17€200kSavona FBC
2016-12-12€200kAS Livorno
2017-06-08€150kUC Sampdoria
2017-12-19€125kBassano Virtus 55 ST
2018-06-19€125kUS Gavorrano
2018-12-13€150kAS Lucchese Libertas
2019-06-19€175kAS Lucchese Libertas
2019-12-12€150kUC Sampdoria
2020-08-25€150kUC Sampdoria
2021-02-22€1MCosenza Calcio
2021-06-24€2.2MCosenza Calcio
2021-12-28€2MUC Sampdoria
2022-03-15€3MUC Sampdoria
2022-06-07€3MUC Sampdoria
2022-11-11€3.5MUS Lecce
2023-03-21€5MUS Lecce
2023-06-15€5MUS Lecce
2023-12-20€5MUS Lecce
2024-06-05€5MUS Lecce
2024-12-18€4MUS Lecce
2025-06-17€3.5MUS Lecce
2025-12-23€3.5MUS Lecce
2026-05-29€3.5MUS Lecce

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.008

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 34% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 72% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Falcone appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).