Breel
Embolo
CFSwitzerland · Stade Rennais FC
Player dossierLigue 1
BreelEmbolo
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- Stade Rennais FC
- League
- Ligue 1
- Nationality
- Switzerland
- Age
- 29
- Height
- 184 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 1 Jun 2026
Ligue 1Reading the valuation
The market values Embolo at €15M. Model A, which never saw Embolo during training, estimates €10.1M: the market value is 48% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.48. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €8.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 71
- Minutes
- 4,485
- Goals
- 15
- Assists
- 11
- Started
- 49/71
- Min / app
- 63
- Cards
- 8Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Embolo…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €15M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Minutes, two years
Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.
4,485 this player2,242 attacker median86th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- May 2014
- Peak
- €22M
- Jul 2016
- Model target
- €15M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 38
- 5 club changes
Jun 2026: €15M, Stade Rennais FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2014-05-08 | €100k | FC Basel 1893 U21 |
| 2014-07-16 | €250k | FC Basel 1893 |
| 2014-09-12 | €250k | FC Basel 1893 |
| 2014-10-03 | €1M | FC Basel 1893 |
| 2014-12-15 | €4M | FC Basel 1893 |
| 2015-04-14 | €8M | FC Basel 1893 |
| 2015-06-18 | €8M | FC Basel 1893 |
| 2015-09-29 | €16M | FC Basel 1893 |
| 2015-12-18 | €16M | FC Basel 1893 |
| 2016-04-20 | €20M | FC Basel 1893 |
| 2016-06-01 | €20M | FC Basel 1893 |
| 2016-07-22 | €22M | FC Schalke 04 |
| 2017-02-07 | €20M | FC Schalke 04 |
| 2017-06-19 | €20M | FC Schalke 04 |
| 2017-12-28 | €18M | FC Schalke 04 |
| 2018-06-05 | €18M | FC Schalke 04 |
| 2018-12-18 | €15M | FC Schalke 04 |
| 2019-03-06 | €12M | FC Schalke 04 |
| 2019-06-05 | €14M | FC Schalke 04 |
| 2019-12-17 | €16M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2020-04-08 | €13M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2020-07-08 | €16M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2021-02-10 | €16M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2021-05-25 | €16M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2021-12-22 | €16M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2022-03-24 | €14M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2022-06-09 | €15M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2022-09-19 | €18M | AS Monaco |
| 2022-11-02 | €20M | AS Monaco |
| 2023-03-27 | €22M | AS Monaco |
| 2023-06-27 | €20M | AS Monaco |
| 2023-10-16 | €15M | AS Monaco |
| 2023-12-18 | €12M | AS Monaco |
| 2024-06-03 | €12M | AS Monaco |
| 2024-12-10 | €12M | AS Monaco |
| 2025-06-03 | €12M | AS Monaco |
| 2025-12-15 | €12M | Stade Rennais FC |
| 2026-06-01 | €15M | Stade Rennais FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.394
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Ligue 1423 players · median €5M
Valued above 76% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 81% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Embolo appears
- TerminalLigue 1 in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLigue 1 on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- HøjbjergDMOlympique Marseille · Ligue 1€15M
- NiakhatéCBOlympique Lyon · Ligue 1€15M
- AguerdCBOlympique Marseille · Ligue 1€15M
- TezeRBAS Monaco · Ligue 1€15M
- TsygankovRWGirona FC · attackers€15M
- LukébakioRWSL Benfica · attackers€15M
- PinamontiCFUS Sassuolo · attackers€15M
- TellaRWBayer 04 Leverkusen · attackers€15M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).