FairValue

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Georgios

Athanasiadis

GKGreece · Aris Thessaloniki

№ 234888Emerging €380k +0.28

Player dossierSuper League

GeorgiosAthanasiadis

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Aris Thessaloniki
League
Super League
Nationality
Greece
Age
33
Height
191 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Athanasiadis at €500k. Model A, which never saw Athanasiadis during training, estimates €380k: the market value is 32% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.32. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €456k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.28A €380k▲ +0.09B €456k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
20
Minutes
1,768
Started
19/20
Min / app
88
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Athanasiadis…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €500k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €500kModel A €380k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Georgios Athanasiadis's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 34th, Starts 13th, Minutes, last 365 days 54th, European club minutes 68th34thMinutes13thStarts54thRecent68thEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

5% this player0% goalkeeper median68th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●86%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Sept 2012
Peak
€1.8M
Nov 2022
Model target
€500k
Jun 2026
Valuations
31
6 club changes
Jun 2026€500kAris ThessalonikiValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €500k, Aris Thessaloniki. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-09-21€100kPanthrakikos
2013-02-10€100kPanthrakikos
2014-03-28€300kPanthrakikos
2014-11-11€300kPanthrakikos
2015-05-10€450kPanthrakikos
2015-09-27€500kPanthrakikos
2016-06-21€500kPanthrakikos
2016-12-21€450kAsteras Tripolis
2017-05-11€450kAsteras Tripolis
2017-12-18€500kAsteras Tripolis
2018-05-22€800kAsteras Tripolis
2018-12-07€600kAsteras Tripolis
2019-05-21€500kAsteras Tripolis
2019-12-18€500kAEK Athens
2020-04-08€400kAEK Athens
2020-08-04€400kAEK Athens
2021-02-12€600kAEK Athens
2021-10-18€1.5MFC Sheriff Tiraspol
2021-12-25€1.7MFC Sheriff Tiraspol
2022-05-23€1.7MFC Sheriff Tiraspol
2022-11-07€1.8MAEK Athens
2023-05-22€1.8MAEK Athens
2023-12-20€1.5MAEK Athens
2024-03-06€1MAEK Athens
2024-05-30€1MAEK Athens
2024-09-24€900kAEK Larnaca
2024-12-09€900kAEK Larnaca
2025-05-29€800kAEK Larnaca
2025-09-23€700kAris Thessaloniki
2025-12-12€600kAris Thessaloniki
2026-06-04€500kAris Thessaloniki

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.276

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 43% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 27% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Athanasiadis appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).