FairValue

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Ali

Sowe

CFThe Gambia · Caykur Rizespor

№ 229817Emerging €2.6M −0.56

Player dossierSüper Lig

AliSowe

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Caykur Rizespor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
The Gambia
Age
31
Height
191 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Sowe at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Sowe during training, estimates €2.6M: the market value is 43% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.75. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.56A €2.6M▼ −0.95B €3.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
69
Minutes
5,366
Goals
28
Assists
6
Started
61/69
Min / app
78
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sowe…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €2.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Ali Sowe's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 84th, Assists per 90 32nd, Minutes, two years 93rd, Starts 92nd, Minutes, last 365 days 86th, European club minutes 28th84thGoals32ndAssists93rdMinutes92ndStarts86thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

5,366 this player2,242 attacker median93rd percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●8,788

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Jun 2013
Peak
€3M
Apr 2021
Model target
€1.5M
May 2026
Valuations
38
12 club changes
May 2026€1.5MCaykur RizesporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.5M, Caykur Rizespor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-06-03€150kChievo Primavera
2013-06-06€100kChievo Primavera
2014-01-29€800kSS Juve Stabia
2014-07-15€750kDelfino Pescara 1936
2015-02-10€650kUS Latina Calcio
2015-06-29€500kUS Latina Calcio
2015-12-28€400kModena FC
2016-06-22€350kUS Lecce
2016-12-12€275kAC Prato
2017-06-23€325kUS Vibonese
2017-11-14€550kKF Skënderbeu
2018-01-15€675kKF Skënderbeu
2018-06-28€700kKF Skënderbeu
2019-01-24€1.2MCSKA-Sofia
2019-06-24€2.5MCSKA-Sofia
2020-02-02€2.8MCSKA-Sofia
2020-03-09€2.6MCSKA-Sofia
2020-04-08€2MCSKA-Sofia
2020-12-21€2MCSKA-Sofia
2021-04-13€3MFC Rostov
2021-06-02€3MFC Rostov
2021-12-29€3MFC Rostov
2022-06-02€2.5MFC Rostov
2022-10-27€2.5MMKE Ankaragücü
2023-03-14€2.7MMKE Ankaragücü
2023-06-08€3MMKE Ankaragücü
2023-09-27€2.5MMKE Ankaragücü
2023-12-21€2.3MMKE Ankaragücü
2024-03-15€2MMKE Ankaragücü
2024-05-31€1.7MMKE Ankaragücü
2024-10-04€1.7MCaykur Rizespor
2024-12-23€1.7MCaykur Rizespor
2025-03-20€1.9MCaykur Rizespor
2025-06-18€1.9MCaykur Rizespor
2025-10-01€1.8MCaykur Rizespor
2025-12-17€1.8MCaykur Rizespor
2026-03-05€1.5MCaykur Rizespor
2026-05-21€1.5MCaykur Rizespor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.557

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 52% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 37% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Sowe appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).