FairValue

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Andreas

Gianniotis

GKGreece · Kasimpasa

№ 226802Emerging €789k −0.97

Player dossierSüper Lig

AndreasGianniotis

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Kasimpasa
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Greece
Age
33
Height
191 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Gianniotis at €300k. Model A, which never saw Gianniotis during training, estimates €789k: the market value is 62% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.63. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.97A €789k▼ −1.87B €1.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
67
Minutes
6,030
Started
67/67
Min / app
90
Cards
7Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Gianniotis…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €300k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €300kModel A €789k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Andreas Gianniotis's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 86th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 80th, European club minutes 32nd86thMinutes62ndStarts80thRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

6,030 this player2,790 goalkeeper median86th percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,210

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€250k
Jul 2012
Peak
€1.5M
May 2018
Model target
€300k
May 2026
Valuations
34
9 club changes
May 2026€300kKasimpasaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €300k, Kasimpasa. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-07-03€250kEthnikos Gazoros
2012-07-29€250kOlympiacos Piraeus
2012-09-21€300kOlympiacos Piraeus
2013-02-10€300kOlympiacos Piraeus
2013-12-02€250kOlympiacos Piraeus
2014-11-11€250kPAS Giannina
2015-05-10€250kOlympiacos Piraeus
2015-09-27€250kPanionios FC
2016-06-21€250kPanionios FC
2016-12-21€400kPanionios FC
2017-05-11€700kPanionios FC
2017-12-18€1MAtromitos Athens
2018-05-22€1.5MAtromitos Athens
2018-12-07€1.5MOlympiacos Piraeus
2019-05-21€1MOlympiacos Piraeus
2019-12-28€800kMaccabi Tel Aviv
2020-04-08€650kMaccabi Tel Aviv
2020-07-07€600kMaccabi Tel Aviv
2021-02-12€700kAtromitos Athens
2021-11-01€600kAtromitos Athens
2022-06-09€600kAtromitos Athens
2022-11-07€600kAtromitos Athens
2023-05-22€600kAtromitos Athens
2023-09-27€500kKasimpasa
2023-12-21€500kKasimpasa
2024-03-15€500kKasimpasa
2024-05-31€500kKasimpasa
2024-10-04€500kKasimpasa
2024-12-23€400kKasimpasa
2025-03-20€400kKasimpasa
2025-06-18€375kKasimpasa
2025-10-01€350kKasimpasa
2025-12-17€350kKasimpasa
2026-05-21€300kKasimpasa

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.968

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 12% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€300kSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 15% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€300kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Gianniotis appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).