FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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David

Soria

GKSpain · Getafe CF

№ 226012Established €3.1M −0.10

Player dossierLaLiga

DavidSoria

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Getafe CF
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Spain
Age
33
Height
192 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Soria at €2.8M. Model A, which never saw Soria during training, estimates €3.1M: the market value is 9% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.10. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.10A €3.1M▲ +0.11B €2.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
76
Minutes
6,840
Started
76/76
Min / app
90
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Soria…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.8MModel A €3.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

David Soria's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 92nd, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 90th, European club minutes 32nd92ndMinutes62ndStarts90thRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

6,840 this player2,790 goalkeeper median92nd percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,210

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
Sept 2015
Peak
€18M
Dec 2019
Model target
€2.8M
Jun 2026
Valuations
28
2 club changes
Jun 2026€2.8MGetafe CFValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €2.8M, Getafe CF. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-09-28€200kSevilla Atlético
2016-02-22€300kSevilla FC
2016-04-07€800kSevilla FC
2016-07-15€2MSevilla FC
2017-01-24€2MSevilla FC
2017-06-05€1.5MSevilla FC
2018-01-01€3MSevilla FC
2018-05-30€4MSevilla FC
2018-07-16€3MGetafe CF
2018-10-31€5MGetafe CF
2018-12-21€10MGetafe CF
2019-06-11€15MGetafe CF
2019-12-20€18MGetafe CF
2020-04-08€14.5MGetafe CF
2020-10-08€15MGetafe CF
2021-01-05€9MGetafe CF
2021-06-10€9MGetafe CF
2021-12-30€7MGetafe CF
2022-06-03€8MGetafe CF
2022-11-07€10MGetafe CF
2023-06-13€8MGetafe CF
2023-12-22€8MGetafe CF
2024-03-21€6MGetafe CF
2024-06-07€5MGetafe CF
2024-12-27€4MGetafe CF
2025-06-09€3MGetafe CF
2025-12-12€3MGetafe CF
2026-06-05€2.8MGetafe CF

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.100

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 39% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€2.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 67% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Soria appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).