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Patrick

Pentz

GKAustria · Bröndby IF

№ 223972Established €2.6M −0.18

Player dossierSuperliga

PatrickPentz

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Bröndby IF
League
Superliga
Nationality
Austria
Age
29
Height
183 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Pentz at €2.2M. Model A, which never saw Pentz during training, estimates €2.6M: the market value is 17% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.20. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.18A €2.6M▼ −0.24B €2.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
57
Minutes
5,145
Started
57/57
Min / app
90
Cards
0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Pentz…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.2MModel A €2.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Patrick Pentz's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 78th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 69th, European club minutes 80th78thMinutes62ndStarts69thRecent80thEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

16% this player0% goalkeeper median80th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●86%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jul 2015
Peak
€3M
Jun 2024
Model target
€2.2M
May 2026
Valuations
29
3 club changes
May 2026€2.2MBröndby IFValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2.2M, Bröndby IF. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-07-14€50kAustria Vienna
2015-12-29€50kAustria Vienna
2016-06-01€100kAustria Vienna
2016-12-22€100kAustria Vienna
2017-06-02€150kAustria Vienna
2017-10-11€350kAustria Vienna
2018-01-02€600kAustria Vienna
2018-03-30€1MAustria Vienna
2018-06-14€1MAustria Vienna
2018-12-19€1.5MAustria Vienna
2019-06-03€2MAustria Vienna
2019-09-03€1.5MAustria Vienna
2019-12-16€1MAustria Vienna
2020-04-08€800kAustria Vienna
2020-07-22€1.5MAustria Vienna
2020-12-21€1.8MAustria Vienna
2021-03-24€2.5MAustria Vienna
2021-06-02€2.5MAustria Vienna
2021-12-16€1.5MAustria Vienna
2022-05-27€1.7MAustria Vienna
2022-09-19€2MStade Reims
2022-11-02€1.5MStade Reims
2023-06-22€1.5MBayer 04 Leverkusen
2023-12-21€1.5MBröndby IF
2024-06-10€3MBröndby IF
2024-12-09€3MBröndby IF
2025-06-16€2.5MBröndby IF
2025-12-15€2.2MBröndby IF
2026-05-25€2.2MBröndby IF

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.183

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 75% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€2.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 64% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Pentz appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).