FairValue

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Artem

Timofeev

DMRussia · Lokomotiv Moscow

№ 211727Emerging €892k −0.40

Player dossierPremier Liga

ArtemTimofeev

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Lokomotiv Moscow
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
32
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Timofeev at €600k. Model A, which never saw Timofeev during training, estimates €892k: the market value is 33% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.49. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €433k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.40A €892k▲ +0.33B €433k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
25
Minutes
1,397
Goals
1
Assists
1
Started
17/25
Min / app
56
Cards
8Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Timofeev…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €600kModel A €892k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Artem Timofeev's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 41st, Assists per 90 36th, Minutes, two years 23rd, Starts 48th, Minutes, last 365 days 8th, European club minutes 30th41stGoals36thAssists23rdMinutes48thStarts8thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

68% this player69% midfielder median48th percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Apr 2012
Peak
€2.8M
Jun 2023
Model target
€600k
May 2026
Valuations
28
5 club changes
May 2026€600kLokomotiv MoscowValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €600k, Lokomotiv Moscow. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-04-01€50kSpartak Moskow II
2015-04-26€200kSpartak 2 Moscow
2015-06-11€250kSpartak 2 Moscow
2016-01-10€300kSpartak 2 Moscow
2016-07-01€400kSpartak 2 Moscow
2016-12-24€400kSpartak 2 Moscow
2017-06-01€400kSpartak 2 Moscow
2017-12-23€400kSpartak Moscow
2018-06-06€500kSpartak Moscow
2018-10-15€700kSpartak Moscow
2018-12-20€750kSpartak Moscow
2019-06-14€850kKrylya Sovetov Samara
2019-12-23€850kKrylya Sovetov Samara
2020-04-08€675kKrylya Sovetov Samara
2020-07-29€900kKrylya Sovetov Samara
2020-12-29€1.5MAkhmat Grozny
2021-06-02€1.8MAkhmat Grozny
2021-12-29€2MAkhmat Grozny
2022-06-02€2MAkhmat Grozny
2022-11-21€2.5MAkhmat Grozny
2023-06-14€2.8MAkhmat Grozny
2023-12-13€2.5MAkhmat Grozny
2024-06-04€2.5MAkhmat Grozny
2024-12-12€2MLokomotiv Moscow
2025-06-04€1.5MLokomotiv Moscow
2025-09-18€1.2MLokomotiv Moscow
2025-12-16€800kLokomotiv Moscow
2026-05-26€600kLokomotiv Moscow

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.396

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 19% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 20% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Timofeev appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).