FairValue

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Georgiy

Bushchan

GKUkraine · Polissya Zhytomyr

№ 206888Established €515k +1.36

Player dossierPremier Liha

GeorgiyBushchan

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Polissya Zhytomyr
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
32
Height
196 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Bushchan at €2M. Model A, which never saw Bushchan during training, estimates €515k: the market value is 288% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×3.88. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.1M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +1.36A €515k▲ +0.59B €1.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
31
Minutes
2,790
Started
31/31
Min / app
90
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bushchan…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €515k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Georgiy Bushchan's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 50th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 14th, European club minutes 97th50thMinutes62ndStarts14thRecent97thEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

35% this player0% goalkeeper median97th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●86%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jan 2014
Peak
€10M
Sept 2022
Model target
€2M
Jun 2026
Valuations
30
6 club changes
Jun 2026€2MPolissya ZhytomyrValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €2M, Polissya Zhytomyr. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-01-02€100kDynamo Kyiv II
2014-10-20€200kDynamo-2 Kyiv
2015-10-14€200kDynamo Kyiv
2015-12-18€300kDynamo Kyiv
2016-07-21€300kDynamo Kyiv II
2017-06-26€300kDynamo Kyiv
2018-01-12€800kDynamo Kyiv
2018-08-06€800kDynamo Kyiv
2018-12-10€800kDynamo Kyiv
2019-06-20€1MDynamo Kyiv
2020-01-08€1.8MDynamo Kyiv
2020-04-08€1.4MDynamo Kyiv
2020-09-04€2.5MDynamo Kyiv
2021-01-14€4MDynamo Kyiv
2021-05-27€5MDynamo Kyiv
2021-07-15€7.5MDynamo Kyiv
2021-12-20€9MDynamo Kyiv
2022-05-18€9MDynamo Kyiv
2022-09-06€10MDynamo Kyiv
2022-12-06€10MDynamo Kyiv
2023-06-21€8MDynamo Kyiv
2023-09-14€7MDynamo Kyiv
2023-12-11€7MDynamo Kyiv
2024-06-06€7MDynamo Kyiv
2024-12-17€7MDynamo Kyiv
2025-03-10€6MAl-Shabab FC
2025-05-27€5MAl-Shabab FC
2025-12-18€3MPolissya Zhytomyr
2026-03-23€2.5MPolissya Zhytomyr
2026-06-02€2MPolissya Zhytomyr

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+1.357

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 88% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 59% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Bushchan appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).