FairValue

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Portrait of Raúl Jiménez

Raúl

Jiménez

CFMexico · Fulham FC

№ 206040Established €2.6M +0.14

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

RaúlJiménez

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Fulham FC
League
Premier League
Nationality
Mexico
Age
35
Height
188 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Jiménez at €3M. Model A, which never saw Jiménez during training, estimates €2.6M: the market value is 15% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.15. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.14A €2.6M▲ +0.53B €1.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
85
Minutes
5,253
Goals
24
Assists
6
Started
62/85
Min / app
62
Cards
9Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Jiménez…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3MModel A €2.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Raúl Jiménez's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 78th, Assists per 90 33rd, Minutes, two years 93rd, Starts 73rd, Minutes, last 365 days 88th, European club minutes 28th78thGoals33rdAssists93rdMinutes73rdStarts88thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

5,253 this player2,242 attacker median93rd percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●8,788

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€600k
Jun 2012
Peak
€50M
Mar 2020
Model target
€3M
Jun 2026
Valuations
36
4 club changes
Jun 2026€3MFulham FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €3M, Fulham FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-06-01€600kCF América
2012-11-30€1MCF América
2013-06-19€2.8MCF América
2014-01-02€3MCF América
2014-08-13€10MAtlético de Madrid
2015-01-23€7MAtlético de Madrid
2015-07-01€5MAtlético de Madrid
2015-10-07€8MSL Benfica
2016-02-24€8MSL Benfica
2016-07-29€8MSL Benfica
2016-10-31€11MSL Benfica
2017-02-22€11MSL Benfica
2017-06-26€12MSL Benfica
2018-02-07€10MSL Benfica
2018-06-13€15MSL Benfica
2018-12-19€18MWolverhampton Wanderers
2019-03-05€25MWolverhampton Wanderers
2019-06-13€35MWolverhampton Wanderers
2019-12-10€42MWolverhampton Wanderers
2020-03-09€50MWolverhampton Wanderers
2020-04-08€40MWolverhampton Wanderers
2020-10-13€40MWolverhampton Wanderers
2021-03-18€35MWolverhampton Wanderers
2021-06-08€28MWolverhampton Wanderers
2021-12-23€22MWolverhampton Wanderers
2022-06-15€18MWolverhampton Wanderers
2022-09-15€15MWolverhampton Wanderers
2022-11-03€12MWolverhampton Wanderers
2023-03-16€9MWolverhampton Wanderers
2023-06-20€6MWolverhampton Wanderers
2023-12-19€6MFulham FC
2024-05-27€5MFulham FC
2024-12-16€5MFulham FC
2025-05-30€5MFulham FC
2025-12-09€4MFulham FC
2026-06-03€3MFulham FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.141

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 12% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 52% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Jiménez appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).