FairValue

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Marco

Ilaimaharitra

DMMadagascar · Standard Liège

№ 205550Emerging €1.4M −0.56

Player dossierPro League

MarcoIlaimaharitra

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Standard Liège
League
Pro League
Nationality
Madagascar
Age
30
Height
178 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Ilaimaharitra at €800k. Model A, which never saw Ilaimaharitra during training, estimates €1.4M: the market value is 43% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.75. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.56A €1.4M▼ −0.26B €1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
39
Minutes
3,078
Goals
4
Assists
0
Started
36/39
Min / app
79
Cards
12Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ilaimaharitra…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €800kModel A €1.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Marco Ilaimaharitra's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 61st, Assists per 90 8th, Minutes, two years 59th, Starts 90th, Minutes, last 365 days 78th, European club minutes 30th61stGoals8thAssists59thMinutes90thStarts78thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

92% this player69% midfielder median90th percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€600k
Nov 2014
Peak
€5M
Mar 2020
Model target
€800k
Jun 2026
Valuations
31
4 club changes
Jun 2026€800kStandard LiègeValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €800k, Standard Liège. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-11-20€600kFC Sochaux-Montbéliard
2015-01-14€800kFC Sochaux-Montbéliard
2015-06-06€800kFC Sochaux-Montbéliard
2016-02-04€600kFC Sochaux-Montbéliard
2016-07-13€600kFC Sochaux-Montbéliard
2017-03-20€600kFC Sochaux-Montbéliard
2017-06-15€600kFC Sochaux-Montbéliard
2018-01-09€850kRoyal Charleroi SC
2018-06-03€1MRoyal Charleroi SC
2018-12-27€1.5MRoyal Charleroi SC
2019-03-04€2MRoyal Charleroi SC
2019-06-10€3MRoyal Charleroi SC
2019-09-13€4MRoyal Charleroi SC
2019-12-13€4MRoyal Charleroi SC
2020-03-30€5MRoyal Charleroi SC
2020-04-08€4MRoyal Charleroi SC
2020-10-16€5MRoyal Charleroi SC
2021-01-04€4MRoyal Charleroi SC
2021-03-17€3.5MRoyal Charleroi SC
2021-06-07€2.8MRoyal Charleroi SC
2022-01-06€2.8MRoyal Charleroi SC
2022-04-12€2.5MRoyal Charleroi SC
2022-11-04€2MRoyal Charleroi SC
2023-06-09€2MRoyal Charleroi SC
2023-12-19€2.2MRoyal Charleroi SC
2024-03-22€1.8MRoyal Charleroi SC
2024-06-04€1.5MRoyal Charleroi SC
2024-10-16€1.2MWithout Club
2025-06-12€800kKV Kortrijk
2025-12-10€800kStandard Liège
2026-06-04€800kStandard Liège

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.562

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 22% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 27% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Ilaimaharitra appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).