Mattijs
Branderhorst
GKNetherlands · Fortuna Sittard
Player dossierEredivisie
MattijsBranderhorst
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Fortuna Sittard
- League
- Eredivisie
- Nationality
- Netherlands
- Age
- 32
- Height
- 192 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Branderhorst at €800k. Model A, which never saw Branderhorst during training, estimates €656k: the market value is 22% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.22. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €985k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 54
- Minutes
- 4,860
- Started
- 54/54
- Min / app
- 90
- Cards
- 4Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Branderhorst…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
Minutes, two years
Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.
4,860 this player2,790 goalkeeper median76th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Jan 2012
- Peak
- €900k
- Jun 2018
- Model target
- €800k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 33
- 6 club changes
May 2026: €800k, Fortuna Sittard. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2012-01-01 | €50k | Willem II/RKC U19 |
| 2013-06-18 | €50k | Willem II Tilburg |
| 2014-02-10 | €50k | Willem II Tilburg |
| 2014-08-11 | €50k | Willem II Tilburg |
| 2015-02-11 | €50k | Willem II Tilburg |
| 2015-07-01 | €150k | MVV Maastricht |
| 2016-02-05 | €100k | MVV Maastricht |
| 2016-07-15 | €75k | Willem II Tilburg |
| 2017-01-18 | €75k | Willem II Tilburg |
| 2017-06-07 | €150k | Willem II Tilburg |
| 2018-01-17 | €500k | Willem II Tilburg |
| 2018-03-27 | €750k | Willem II Tilburg |
| 2018-06-12 | €900k | Willem II Tilburg |
| 2018-10-04 | €600k | Willem II Tilburg |
| 2018-12-28 | €600k | Willem II Tilburg |
| 2019-07-03 | €450k | NEC Nijmegen |
| 2020-04-08 | €350k | NEC Nijmegen |
| 2020-06-29 | €425k | NEC Nijmegen |
| 2020-10-24 | €375k | NEC Nijmegen |
| 2020-12-31 | €350k | NEC Nijmegen |
| 2021-03-16 | €325k | NEC Nijmegen |
| 2021-10-04 | €350k | NEC Nijmegen |
| 2022-01-05 | €450k | NEC Nijmegen |
| 2022-06-08 | €700k | NEC Nijmegen |
| 2022-11-11 | €600k | NEC Nijmegen |
| 2023-06-23 | €700k | NEC Nijmegen |
| 2023-12-15 | €600k | FC Utrecht |
| 2024-05-31 | €600k | FC Utrecht |
| 2024-10-14 | €700k | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2024-12-17 | €800k | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2025-05-28 | €800k | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2025-12-02 | €850k | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2026-05-28 | €800k | Fortuna Sittard |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.199
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Eredivisie425 players · median €1M
Valued above 40% of the 425 Eredivisie players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 39% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Branderhorst appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- ClasieDMAZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie€800k
- Didillon-HödlGKWillem II Tilburg · Eredivisie€800k
- EdvardsenCFGo Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie€800k
- FloranusLBPEC Zwolle · Eredivisie€800k
- SzczesnyGKFC Barcelona · goalkeepers€800k
- NylandGKSevilla FC · goalkeepers€800k
- LunevGKDynamo Moscow · goalkeepers€800k
- LecomteGKFulham FC · goalkeepers€800k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).