FairValue

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Adama

Traoré

RWSpain · West Ham United

№ 204103Established €5.4M +0.11

Player dossierPremier League

AdamaTraoré

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
West Ham United
League
Premier League
Nationality
Spain
Age
30
Height
178 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Traoré at €6M. Model A, which never saw Traoré during training, estimates €5.4M: the market value is 12% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.12. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.11A €5.4M▲ +1.04B €2.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
73
Minutes
2,896
Goals
2
Assists
12
Started
28/73
Min / app
40
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Traoré…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €6M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €6MModel A €5.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Adama Traoré's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 9th, Assists per 90 96th, Minutes, two years 65th, Starts 19th, Minutes, last 365 days 34th, European club minutes 28th9thGoals96thAssists65thMinutes19thStarts34thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.37 this player0.15 attacker median96th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
Jun 2013
Peak
€40M
Oct 2020
Model target
€6M
Jun 2026
Valuations
33
8 club changes
Jun 2026€6MWest Ham UnitedValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €6M, West Ham United. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-06-22€200kFC Barcelona U19
2013-10-08€200kFC Barcelona B
2014-02-06€1MFC Barcelona B
2014-08-05€5MFC Barcelona B
2015-01-08€5MFC Barcelona B
2015-08-14€5MAston Villa
2015-10-14€8MAston Villa
2016-02-09€8MAston Villa
2016-09-01€7MMiddlesbrough FC
2017-02-20€8MMiddlesbrough FC
2017-06-28€8MMiddlesbrough FC
2018-08-13€18MWolverhampton Wanderers
2018-12-19€18MWolverhampton Wanderers
2019-06-13€15MWolverhampton Wanderers
2019-12-10€28MWolverhampton Wanderers
2020-03-09€32MWolverhampton Wanderers
2020-04-08€25.5MWolverhampton Wanderers
2020-07-30€35MWolverhampton Wanderers
2020-10-13€40MWolverhampton Wanderers
2021-03-18€35MWolverhampton Wanderers
2021-05-31€30MWolverhampton Wanderers
2021-12-23€28MWolverhampton Wanderers
2022-06-03€20MFC Barcelona
2022-09-15€15MWolverhampton Wanderers
2022-11-03€15MWolverhampton Wanderers
2023-03-16€12MWolverhampton Wanderers
2023-06-20€10MWolverhampton Wanderers
2023-12-19€9MFulham FC
2024-05-27€9MFulham FC
2024-12-16€10MFulham FC
2025-05-30€9MFulham FC
2025-12-09€8MFulham FC
2026-06-03€6MWest Ham United

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.113

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 23% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€6MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 68% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€6MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Traoré appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).