Oleksandr
Zinchenko
LBUkraine · Ajax Amsterdam
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierEredivisie
OleksandrZinchenko
LBLeft-BackDefender
- Club
- Ajax Amsterdam
- League
- Eredivisie
- Nationality
- Ukraine
- Age
- 29
- Height
- 175 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
EredivisieReading the valuation
The market values Zinchenko at €8M. Model A, which never saw Zinchenko during training, estimates €1.6M: the market value is 408% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×5.08. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 33
- Minutes
- 1,449
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 17/33
- Min / app
- 44
- Cards
- 1Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Zinchenko…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €8M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
29% this player0% defender median94th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €800k
- Mar 2015
- Peak
- €42M
- Jun 2023
- Model target
- €8M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 36
- 6 club changes
May 2026: €8M, Ajax Amsterdam. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2015-03-20 | €800k | FC Ufa |
| 2015-06-18 | €650k | FC Ufa |
| 2016-01-06 | €4M | FC Ufa |
| 2016-06-01 | €4M | FC Ufa |
| 2016-08-01 | €4M | Manchester City |
| 2017-01-18 | €4.5M | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2017-06-07 | €4.5M | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2018-01-02 | €4.5M | Manchester City |
| 2018-03-23 | €6M | Manchester City |
| 2018-05-28 | €7M | Manchester City |
| 2018-08-10 | €15M | Manchester City |
| 2018-12-19 | €15M | Manchester City |
| 2019-06-13 | €20M | Manchester City |
| 2019-09-12 | €30M | Manchester City |
| 2019-12-10 | €30M | Manchester City |
| 2020-04-08 | €24M | Manchester City |
| 2020-10-13 | €20M | Manchester City |
| 2021-03-18 | €20M | Manchester City |
| 2021-05-27 | €25M | Manchester City |
| 2021-07-15 | €28M | Manchester City |
| 2021-12-23 | €25M | Manchester City |
| 2022-06-15 | €25M | Manchester City |
| 2022-09-15 | €32M | Arsenal FC |
| 2022-11-03 | €32M | Arsenal FC |
| 2023-03-16 | €40M | Arsenal FC |
| 2023-06-20 | €42M | Arsenal FC |
| 2023-12-19 | €42M | Arsenal FC |
| 2024-05-27 | €38M | Arsenal FC |
| 2024-10-01 | €35M | Arsenal FC |
| 2024-12-16 | €30M | Arsenal FC |
| 2025-03-18 | €22M | Arsenal FC |
| 2025-05-30 | €20M | Arsenal FC |
| 2025-10-17 | €18M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2025-12-09 | €15M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2026-03-11 | €10M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2026-05-28 | €8M | Ajax Amsterdam |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +1.626
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Eredivisie425 players · median €1M
Valued above 89% of the 425 Eredivisie players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 78% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Zinchenko appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- ItakuraCBAjax Amsterdam · Eredivisie€8M
- KovarGKPSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie€8M
- EngwandaDMFC Utrecht · Eredivisie€8M
- MeerdinkCFAZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie€8M
- LaporteCBAthletic Bilbao · defenders€8M
- MaguireCBManchester United · defenders€8M
- CanceloRBFC Barcelona · defenders€8M
- ShawLBManchester United · defenders€8M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).