FairValue

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Ryan

Sanusi

DMBelgium · Beerschot VA

№ 202380Emerging €257k −0.03

Player dossierPro League

RyanSanusi

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Beerschot VA
League
Pro League
Nationality
Belgium
Age
33
Height
181 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
18 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Sanusi at €250k. Model A, which never saw Sanusi during training, estimates €257k: the market value is 3% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.03. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €350k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.03A €257k▼ −0.34B €350k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
12
Minutes
1,015
Goals
1
Assists
1
Started
12/12
Min / app
85
Cards
0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sanusi…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €250k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €250kModel A €257k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Ryan Sanusi's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 52nd, Assists per 90 48th, Minutes, two years 14th, Starts 99th, Minutes, last 365 days 1st, European club minutes 30th52ndGoals48thAssists14thMinutes99thStarts1stRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player69% midfielder median99th percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Sept 2011
Peak
€750k
Jan 2017
Model target
€250k
Dec 2025
Valuations
29
4 club changes
Dec 2025€250kBeerschot VAValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €250k, Beerschot VA. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2011-09-27€50kWillem II Tilburg
2012-01-01€100kWillem II Tilburg
2012-07-25€150kWillem II Tilburg
2013-06-18€100kWillem II Tilburg
2014-02-10€75kFC Oss
2015-02-21€75kFC Oss
2015-07-01€100kSparta Rotterdam
2016-02-05€250kSparta Rotterdam
2016-07-15€500kSparta Rotterdam
2017-01-18€750kSparta Rotterdam
2017-06-07€600kSparta Rotterdam
2018-01-17€500kSparta Rotterdam
2018-06-12€500kSparta Rotterdam
2019-01-08€500kGrenoble Foot 38
2019-06-27€500kGrenoble Foot 38
2020-03-30€500kBeerschot VA
2020-04-08€400kBeerschot VA
2020-10-16€750kBeerschot VA
2021-06-07€750kBeerschot VA
2022-01-06€700kBeerschot VA
2022-04-12€700kBeerschot VA
2022-10-05€500kBeerschot VA
2022-12-22€600kBeerschot VA
2023-05-30€500kBeerschot VA
2023-12-28€500kBeerschot VA
2024-06-20€500kBeerschot VA
2024-12-11€500kBeerschot VA
2025-06-12€300kBeerschot VA
2025-12-18€250kBeerschot VA

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.027

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 1% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 5% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Sanusi appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).