FairValue

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Kenan

Kodro

CFBosnia-Herzegovina · Real Zaragoza

№ 197126Emerging €642k −0.25

Player dossierLaLiga

KenanKodro

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Real Zaragoza
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Bosnia-Herzegovina
Age
32
Height
188 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
30 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Kodro at €500k. Model A, which never saw Kodro during training, estimates €642k: the market value is 22% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.28. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €356k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.25A €642k▲ +0.34B €356k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
27
Minutes
742
Goals
2
Assists
1
Started
6/27
Min / app
27
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kodro…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €500k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €500kModel A €642k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Kenan Kodro's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 46th, Assists per 90 40th, Minutes, two years 10th, Starts 5th, Minutes, last 365 days 4th, European club minutes 28th46thGoals40thAssists10thMinutes5thStarts4thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.24 this player0.26 attacker median46th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Jan 2015
Peak
€3M
Jun 2017
Model target
€500k
Dec 2025
Valuations
30
11 club changes
Dec 2025€500kReal ZaragozaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €500k, Real Zaragoza. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-01-08€300kCA Osasuna
2015-07-01€300kCA Osasuna
2016-02-22€200kCA Osasuna
2016-07-15€400kCA Osasuna
2017-01-24€400kCA Osasuna
2017-03-31€2MCA Osasuna
2017-06-05€3MCA Osasuna
2017-12-28€2M1.FSV Mainz 05
2018-04-24€2MGrasshopper Club Zurich
2018-12-21€700kFC Copenhagen
2019-02-28€900kAthletic Bilbao
2019-06-11€1MAthletic Bilbao
2019-12-20€1MAthletic Bilbao
2020-04-08€800kAthletic Bilbao
2020-10-08€800kAthletic Bilbao
2021-01-05€1MAthletic Bilbao
2021-06-10€1MReal Valladolid CF
2022-01-07€1.2MVideoton FC Fehérvár
2022-06-07€1.5MVideoton FC Fehérvár
2022-10-11€2MFehérvár FC
2023-02-22€1.7MFehérvár FC
2023-06-07€1.2MFehérvár FC
2023-12-22€1.5MVideoton FC Fehérvár
2024-05-23€1.2MFerencvárosi TC
2024-10-04€1.2MGaziantep FK
2024-12-23€1MGaziantep FK
2025-03-20€1MGaziantep FK
2025-06-18€800kGaziantep FK
2025-10-16€600kReal Zaragoza
2025-12-30€500kReal Zaragoza

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.250

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 2% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 15% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Kodro appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).