FairValue

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Portrait of Andreas Christensen

Andreas

Christensen

CBDenmark · FC Barcelona

№ 196948Established €3.3M +0.87

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierLaLiga

AndreasChristensen

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
FC Barcelona
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Denmark
Age
30
Height
189 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Christensen at €8M. Model A, which never saw Christensen during training, estimates €3.3M: the market value is 140% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.40. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.87A €3.3M▲ +1.66B €1.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
24
Minutes
802
Goals
1
Assists
0
Started
6/24
Min / app
33
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Christensen…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €8MModel A €3.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Andreas Christensen's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 90th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 7th, Starts 0th, Minutes, last 365 days 13th, European club minutes 69th90thGoals17thAssists7thMinutes0thStarts13thRecent69thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.11 this player0.03 defender median90th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€500k
Oct 2014
Peak
€40M
Mar 2018
Model target
€8M
Jun 2026
Valuations
33
4 club changes
Jun 2026€8MFC BarcelonaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €8M, FC Barcelona. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-10-05€500kChelsea FC U21
2015-02-12€750kChelsea FC U21
2015-07-01€1.5MChelsea FC
2016-02-15€6.5MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2016-04-13€8MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2016-07-22€14MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2017-02-07€16MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2017-06-19€18MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2018-01-02€30MChelsea FC
2018-03-23€40MChelsea FC
2018-05-28€40MChelsea FC
2018-12-19€35MChelsea FC
2019-06-13€30MChelsea FC
2019-09-12€35MChelsea FC
2019-12-10€30MChelsea FC
2020-04-08€24MChelsea FC
2020-10-13€24MChelsea FC
2021-03-18€28MChelsea FC
2021-05-26€30MChelsea FC
2021-10-05€35MChelsea FC
2021-12-23€35MChelsea FC
2022-06-15€35MChelsea FC
2022-11-07€30MFC Barcelona
2023-06-13€40MFC Barcelona
2023-12-22€40MFC Barcelona
2024-06-07€40MFC Barcelona
2024-10-11€30MFC Barcelona
2024-12-27€20MFC Barcelona
2025-03-21€15MFC Barcelona
2025-06-09€12MFC Barcelona
2025-12-12€10MFC Barcelona
2026-03-16€9MFC Barcelona
2026-06-05€8MFC Barcelona

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.874

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 68% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€8MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 78% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Christensen appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).