FairValue

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Portrait of Waldemar Anton

Waldemar

Anton

CBGermany · Borussia Dortmund

№ 193004Elite €17.7M +0.02

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierBundesliga

WaldemarAnton

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Borussia Dortmund
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
Germany
Age
29
Height
189 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
27 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Anton at €18M. Model A, which never saw Anton during training, estimates €17.7M: the market value is 2% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.02. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €14.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.02A €17.7M▲ +0.21B €14.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
86
Minutes
7,005
Goals
6
Assists
3
Started
78/86
Min / app
81
Cards
11Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Anton…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €18M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €18MModel A €17.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Waldemar Anton's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 79th, Assists per 90 49th, Minutes, two years 98th, Starts 71st, Minutes, last 365 days 100th, European club minutes 91st79thGoals49thAssists98thMinutes71stStarts100thRecent91stEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

4,377 this player1,687 defender median100th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,941

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jul 2015
Peak
€24M
Oct 2024
Model target
€18M
May 2026
Valuations
35
2 club changes
May 2026€18MBorussia DortmundValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €18M, Borussia Dortmund. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-07-01€100kHannover 96
2016-02-15€100kHannover 96
2016-07-22€500kHannover 96
2016-10-06€1MHannover 96
2017-01-23€1.5MHannover 96
2017-06-27€2.5MHannover 96
2017-10-18€4MHannover 96
2017-12-28€6.5MHannover 96
2018-04-04€10MHannover 96
2018-06-05€12MHannover 96
2018-08-22€15MHannover 96
2018-12-18€15MHannover 96
2019-03-06€12MHannover 96
2019-06-05€12MHannover 96
2019-09-25€8.5MHannover 96
2019-12-13€8MHannover 96
2020-04-02€7MHannover 96
2020-04-08€5.5MHannover 96
2021-02-10€7MVfB Stuttgart
2021-06-09€9MVfB Stuttgart
2021-12-22€7.5MVfB Stuttgart
2022-03-24€6MVfB Stuttgart
2022-06-09€6MVfB Stuttgart
2022-11-09€4.5MVfB Stuttgart
2023-06-22€4.5MVfB Stuttgart
2023-10-18€7MVfB Stuttgart
2023-12-14€10MVfB Stuttgart
2024-03-27€18MVfB Stuttgart
2024-05-29€20MVfB Stuttgart
2024-10-09€24MBorussia Dortmund
2024-12-20€24MBorussia Dortmund
2025-03-27€18MBorussia Dortmund
2025-06-05€18MBorussia Dortmund
2025-12-19€18MBorussia Dortmund
2026-05-27€18MBorussia Dortmund

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.018

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 80% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€18MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 89% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€18MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Anton appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).