FairValue

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Sheraldo

Becker

LWSuriname · 1.FSV Mainz 05

№ 188888Emerging €2.2M −0.37

Player dossierBundesliga

SheraldoBecker

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
1.FSV Mainz 05
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
Suriname
Age
31
Height
180 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
27 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Becker at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Becker during training, estimates €2.2M: the market value is 31% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.45. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.37A €2.2M▼ −0.39B €2.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
61
Minutes
2,922
Goals
7
Assists
8
Started
30/61
Min / app
48
Cards
3Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Becker…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €2.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Sheraldo Becker's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 40th, Assists per 90 82nd, Minutes, two years 65th, Starts 33rd, Minutes, last 365 days 51st, European club minutes 80th40thGoals82ndAssists65thMinutes33rdStarts51stRecent80thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.25 this player0.15 attacker median82nd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Feb 2014
Peak
€17M
Jun 2023
Model target
€1.5M
May 2026
Valuations
34
7 club changes
May 2026€1.5M1.FSV Mainz 05Valuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.5M, 1.FSV Mainz 05. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-02-10€25kAjax Amsterdam U21
2014-08-15€150kAjax Amsterdam U21
2015-02-12€450kPEC Zwolle
2015-07-01€500kPEC Zwolle
2015-11-11€700kPEC Zwolle
2016-02-05€700kPEC Zwolle
2016-07-15€800kAjax Amsterdam U21
2017-01-18€800kADO Den Haag
2017-06-07€750kADO Den Haag
2018-01-17€1MADO Den Haag
2018-06-12€1MADO Den Haag
2018-12-28€800kADO Den Haag
2019-06-12€1.3MADO Den Haag
2019-12-17€1.3M1.FC Union Berlin
2020-04-08€1M1.FC Union Berlin
2020-11-26€1.7M1.FC Union Berlin
2021-02-10€3M1.FC Union Berlin
2021-06-09€3M1.FC Union Berlin
2021-12-22€3M1.FC Union Berlin
2022-03-24€4M1.FC Union Berlin
2022-06-09€7M1.FC Union Berlin
2022-09-21€15M1.FC Union Berlin
2022-11-09€15M1.FC Union Berlin
2023-06-22€17M1.FC Union Berlin
2023-12-14€12M1.FC Union Berlin
2024-03-21€10MReal Sociedad
2024-06-07€10MReal Sociedad
2024-10-11€7.5MReal Sociedad
2024-12-27€6MReal Sociedad
2025-03-21€4MReal Sociedad
2025-06-09€2.5MReal Sociedad
2025-10-02€2MCA Osasuna
2025-12-12€1.5MCA Osasuna
2026-05-27€1.5M1.FSV Mainz 05

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.374

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 12% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 37% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Becker appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).