FairValue

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Mohamed

Elyounoussi

SSNorway · FC Copenhagen

№ 186644Established €2.3M +0.54

Player dossierSuperliga

MohamedElyounoussi

SSSecond StrikerAttack

Club
FC Copenhagen
League
Superliga
Nationality
Norway
Age
31
Height
178 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Elyounoussi at €4M. Model A, which never saw Elyounoussi during training, estimates €2.3M: the market value is 72% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.72. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.54A €2.3M▼ −0.01B €4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
71
Minutes
5,556
Goals
19
Assists
18
Started
59/71
Min / app
78
Cards
9Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Elyounoussi…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €4M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €4MModel A €2.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Mohamed Elyounoussi's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 58th, Assists per 90 89th, Minutes, two years 95th, Starts 87th, Minutes, last 365 days 96th, European club minutes 92nd58thGoals89thAssists95thMinutes87thStarts96thRecent92ndEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

3,070 this player1,301 attacker median96th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,703

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Dec 2011
Peak
€15M
Aug 2018
Model target
€4M
May 2026
Valuations
32
6 club changes
May 2026€4MFC CopenhagenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €4M, FC Copenhagen. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2011-12-29€100kSarpsborg 08 FF
2012-07-25€150kSarpsborg 08 FF
2013-03-07€300kSarpsborg 08 FF
2013-07-22€600kSarpsborg 08 FF
2014-01-02€1MSarpsborg 08 FF
2014-12-07€1.5MMolde FK
2015-12-27€1.7MMolde FK
2016-07-16€1.7MFC Basel 1893
2016-10-19€2.5MFC Basel 1893
2016-12-20€2.5MFC Basel 1893
2017-04-14€3.5MFC Basel 1893
2017-07-12€4.8MFC Basel 1893
2018-01-08€7.5MFC Basel 1893
2018-04-24€8.5MFC Basel 1893
2018-08-13€15MSouthampton FC
2018-12-19€15MSouthampton FC
2019-06-13€15MSouthampton FC
2020-02-05€12MCeltic FC
2020-04-08€9.5MCeltic FC
2020-07-21€9.5MCeltic FC
2021-01-18€12MCeltic FC
2021-12-23€10MSouthampton FC
2022-06-15€12MSouthampton FC
2022-11-03€12MSouthampton FC
2023-06-20€9MSouthampton FC
2023-09-19€7MFC Copenhagen
2023-12-21€6MFC Copenhagen
2024-06-10€6MFC Copenhagen
2024-12-09€6MFC Copenhagen
2025-06-16€5MFC Copenhagen
2025-12-15€4.5MFC Copenhagen
2026-05-25€4MFC Copenhagen

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.541

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 89% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€4MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 59% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€4MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Elyounoussi appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).