FairValue

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Portrait of Bobby De Cordova-Reid

Bobby De

Cordova-Reid

AMJamaica · Leicester City

№ 186186Emerging €1.1M −0.43

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

Bobby DeCordova-Reid

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
Leicester City
League
Premier League
Nationality
Jamaica
Age
33
Height
170 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Cordova-Reid at €700k. Model A, which never saw Cordova-Reid during training, estimates €1.1M: the market value is 35% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.54. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €371k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.43A €1.1M▲ +0.64B €371k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
25
Minutes
823
Goals
2
Assists
3
Started
10/25
Min / app
33
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Cordova-Reid…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €700k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €700kModel A €1.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Bobby De Cordova-Reid's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 85th, Assists per 90 97th, Minutes, two years 9th, Starts 12th, Minutes, last 365 days 1st, European club minutes 30th85thGoals97thAssists9thMinutes12thStarts1stRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.33 this player0.09 midfielder median97th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Aug 2011
Peak
€10M
Aug 2018
Model target
€700k
May 2026
Valuations
30
3 club changes
May 2026€700kLeicester CityValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €700k, Leicester City. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2011-08-15€100kBristol City
2013-03-02€150kBristol City
2013-07-12€150kBristol City
2015-09-24€150kBristol City
2016-04-20€250kBristol City
2016-09-01€250kBristol City
2017-02-27€250kBristol City
2017-09-18€750kBristol City
2018-02-27€3MBristol City
2018-08-13€10MCardiff City
2018-12-19€10MCardiff City
2019-06-13€10MCardiff City
2020-02-27€10MFulham FC
2020-04-08€8MFulham FC
2020-10-13€8MFulham FC
2021-03-18€10MFulham FC
2021-06-08€10MFulham FC
2021-11-24€8MFulham FC
2022-05-13€7MFulham FC
2022-11-03€7MFulham FC
2023-06-20€7MFulham FC
2023-12-19€6MFulham FC
2024-05-27€5MFulham FC
2024-12-16€5MLeicester City
2025-03-18€4MLeicester City
2025-05-30€2.5MLeicester City
2025-10-06€2MLeicester City
2025-12-03€1.5MLeicester City
2026-03-03€1MLeicester City
2026-05-28€700kLeicester City

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.431

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 4% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 23% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Cordova-Reid appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).