Kevin
Mbabu
Player dossierSuperliga
KevinMbabu
RBRight-BackDefender
- Club
- FC Midtjylland
- League
- Superliga
- Nationality
- Switzerland
- Age
- 31
- Height
- 184 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 25 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Mbabu at €2.2M. Model A, which never saw Mbabu during training, estimates €1.7M: the market value is 32% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.32. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.3M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 57
- Minutes
- 3,557
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 3
- Started
- 40/57
- Min / app
- 62
- Cards
- 11Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Mbabu…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.2M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
35% this player0% defender median97th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Sept 2012
- Peak
- €14M
- Oct 2021
- Model target
- €2.2M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 28
- 7 club changes
May 2026: €2.2M, FC Midtjylland. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2012-09-05 | €50k | Servette FC |
| 2016-02-09 | €250k | Newcastle United |
| 2016-12-20 | €750k | BSC Young Boys |
| 2017-07-12 | €1.5M | BSC Young Boys |
| 2017-09-29 | €2.3M | BSC Young Boys |
| 2018-01-08 | €3.5M | BSC Young Boys |
| 2018-04-24 | €7M | BSC Young Boys |
| 2018-07-12 | €9.5M | BSC Young Boys |
| 2019-01-21 | €10M | BSC Young Boys |
| 2019-04-15 | €10M | BSC Young Boys |
| 2019-06-04 | €10M | BSC Young Boys |
| 2019-12-17 | €8M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2020-04-08 | €6.5M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2020-07-08 | €8.5M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2021-02-10 | €9M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2021-05-25 | €12M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2021-10-07 | €14M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2021-12-22 | €12M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2022-06-09 | €9M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2022-11-03 | €7M | Fulham FC |
| 2023-03-28 | €5M | Servette FC |
| 2023-06-07 | €3.5M | Servette FC |
| 2023-12-14 | €3.5M | FC Augsburg |
| 2024-05-29 | €4M | FC Augsburg |
| 2024-12-09 | €4M | FC Midtjylland |
| 2025-06-16 | €3.5M | FC Midtjylland |
| 2025-12-15 | €3M | FC Midtjylland |
| 2026-05-25 | €2.2M | FC Midtjylland |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.279
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Superliga256 players · median €800k
Valued above 75% of the 256 Superliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 54% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Mbabu appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- PentzGKBröndby IF · Superliga€2.2M
- SolbakkenCMAarhus GF · Superliga€2.2M
- ByskovCMFC Midtjylland · Superliga€2.2M
- NorheimLBFC Nordsjaelland · Superliga€2.2M
- OttoRBDeportivo Alavés · defenders€2.2M
- SchmidtLBSV Werder Bremen · defenders€2.2M
- BaltacıCBGalatasaray · defenders€2.2M
- MagnéeRBCercle Brugge · defenders€2.2M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).