Rony
Lopes
RWPortugal · CD Tondela
Player dossierLiga Portugal
RonyLopes
RWRight WingerAttack
- Club
- CD Tondela
- League
- Liga Portugal
- Nationality
- Portugal
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 174 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Lopes at €1.2M. Model A, which never saw Lopes during training, estimates €567k: the market value is 112% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.12. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €752k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 46
- Minutes
- 2,514
- Goals
- 5
- Assists
- 3
- Started
- 30/46
- Min / app
- 55
- Cards
- 8Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Lopes…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.2M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
65% this player59% attacker median61st percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €500k
- Aug 2014
- Peak
- €28M
- Jun 2018
- Model target
- €1.2M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 31
- 11 club changes
May 2026: €1.2M, CD Tondela. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2014-08-07 | €500k | LOSC Lille |
| 2014-11-20 | €2M | LOSC Lille |
| 2015-01-14 | €2M | LOSC Lille |
| 2015-06-06 | €4.5M | LOSC Lille |
| 2015-09-06 | €10M | AS Monaco |
| 2016-02-04 | €9M | LOSC Lille |
| 2016-07-13 | €9M | LOSC Lille |
| 2017-01-16 | €8M | LOSC Lille |
| 2017-06-01 | €8M | LOSC Lille |
| 2018-01-24 | €12M | AS Monaco |
| 2018-03-20 | €18M | AS Monaco |
| 2018-06-04 | €28M | AS Monaco |
| 2018-12-17 | €28M | AS Monaco |
| 2019-06-03 | €25M | AS Monaco |
| 2019-12-20 | €12.5M | Sevilla FC |
| 2020-04-08 | €10M | Sevilla FC |
| 2020-10-15 | €10M | OGC Nice |
| 2021-01-07 | €8M | OGC Nice |
| 2021-06-04 | €7M | OGC Nice |
| 2021-11-01 | €6M | Olympiacos Piraeus |
| 2022-02-22 | €5M | Olympiacos Piraeus |
| 2022-06-09 | €4M | Olympiacos Piraeus |
| 2022-11-02 | €4M | ESTAC Troyes |
| 2023-06-27 | €4M | ESTAC Troyes |
| 2023-12-27 | €2.5M | SC Braga |
| 2024-06-06 | €2.5M | SC Braga |
| 2024-10-04 | €2.2M | Alanyaspor |
| 2024-12-23 | €2M | Alanyaspor |
| 2025-05-30 | €2M | SC Farense |
| 2025-12-18 | €1.2M | CD Tondela |
| 2026-05-28 | €1.2M | CD Tondela |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.749
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M
Valued above 51% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 34% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Lopes appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- LucãoGKGil Vicente FC · Liga Portugal€1.2M
- BóiaLWCD Nacional · Liga Portugal€1.2M
- EeCMFC Arouca · Liga Portugal€1.2M
- DanteLBFC Arouca · Liga Portugal€1.2M
- SánchezSSSevilla FC · attackers€1.2M
- PerišićLWPSV Eindhoven · attackers€1.2M
- PortuRWGirona FC · attackers€1.2M
- BakambuCFReal Betis Balompié · attackers€1.2M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).