FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Soualiho

Meïté

DMFrance · PAOK Thessaloniki

№ 164913Emerging €1.4M +0.11

Player dossierSuper League

SoualihoMeïté

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
PAOK Thessaloniki
League
Super League
Nationality
France
Age
32
Height
187 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Meïté at €1.6M. Model A, which never saw Meïté during training, estimates €1.4M: the market value is 12% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.12. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €997k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.11A €1.4M▲ +0.47B €997k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
45
Minutes
3,309
Goals
3
Assists
2
Started
39/45
Min / app
74
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Meïté…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.6M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.6MModel A €1.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Soualiho Meïté's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 49th, Assists per 90 31st, Minutes, two years 63rd, Starts 81st, Minutes, last 365 days 91st, European club minutes 98th49thGoals31stAssists63rdMinutes81stStarts91stRecent98thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

35% this player0% midfielder median98th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jul 2011
Peak
€13M
Dec 2018
Model target
€1.6M
Jun 2026
Valuations
37
10 club changes
Jun 2026€1.6MPAOK ThessalonikiValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1.6M, PAOK Thessaloniki. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2011-07-20€100kAJ Auxerre
2011-12-24€200kAJ Auxerre
2012-05-23€400kAJ Auxerre
2013-01-04€400kAJ Auxerre
2013-05-29€1.5MAJ Auxerre
2014-01-14€1.5MLOSC Lille
2014-08-07€1.8MLOSC Lille
2015-01-14€1.5MLOSC Lille
2015-06-06€1.3MLOSC Lille
2016-02-07€900kZulte Waregem
2016-07-15€900kZulte Waregem
2016-10-20€2MZulte Waregem
2017-01-21€5MZulte Waregem
2017-03-30€7MZulte Waregem
2017-06-06€7MZulte Waregem
2018-01-24€7MFC Girondins Bordeaux
2018-06-04€8MFC Girondins Bordeaux
2018-10-12€10MTorino FC
2018-12-20€13MTorino FC
2019-06-06€13MTorino FC
2019-12-12€11MTorino FC
2020-03-03€9MTorino FC
2020-04-08€7MTorino FC
2020-08-25€6MTorino FC
2020-12-29€5MTorino FC
2021-06-03€5MAC Milan
2021-12-27€5MSL Benfica
2022-05-31€5MSL Benfica
2022-11-11€4.8MUS Cremonese
2023-03-21€4MUS Cremonese
2023-06-15€3.5MUS Cremonese
2023-12-20€3MPAOK Thessaloniki
2024-05-30€3.5MPAOK Thessaloniki
2024-12-19€2.5MSL Benfica
2025-05-23€2MPAOK Thessaloniki
2025-12-12€1.8MPAOK Thessaloniki
2026-06-04€1.6MPAOK Thessaloniki

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.112

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 77% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€1.6MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 43% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.6MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Meïté appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).