FairValue

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Yvon

Mvogo

GKSwitzerland · FC Lorient

№ 147051Established €2.7M −0.07

Player dossierLigue 1

YvonMvogo

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
FC Lorient
League
Ligue 1
Nationality
Switzerland
Age
31
Height
190 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
1 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Mvogo at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Mvogo during training, estimates €2.7M: the market value is 7% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.07. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.07A €2.7M▲ +0.39B €1.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
31
Minutes
2,790
Started
31/31
Min / app
90
Cards
0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Mvogo…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.5MModel A €2.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Yvon Mvogo's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 50th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 74th, European club minutes 32nd50thMinutes62ndStarts74thRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

2,790 this player1,560 goalkeeper median74th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,970

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jun 2011
Peak
€4.5M
May 2021
Model target
€2.5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
35
4 club changes
Jun 2026€2.5MFC LorientValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €2.5M, FC Lorient. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2011-06-17€50kBSC Young Boys U18
2012-05-30€50kBSC Young Boys
2013-06-17€50kBSC Young Boys
2013-11-26€150kBSC Young Boys
2014-02-14€250kBSC Young Boys
2014-07-16€400kBSC Young Boys
2014-09-12€1MBSC Young Boys
2014-12-15€1.8MBSC Young Boys
2015-04-14€3MBSC Young Boys
2015-06-18€3MBSC Young Boys
2015-09-29€2.5MBSC Young Boys
2015-12-18€3MBSC Young Boys
2016-07-16€3MBSC Young Boys
2016-12-20€3MBSC Young Boys
2017-10-18€3MRB Leipzig
2017-12-28€3MRB Leipzig
2018-06-05€3MRB Leipzig
2018-12-18€3MRB Leipzig
2019-06-05€3MRB Leipzig
2019-12-17€3MRB Leipzig
2020-04-08€2.4MRB Leipzig
2020-10-14€2.4MPSV Eindhoven
2021-01-06€4MPSV Eindhoven
2021-05-25€4.5MPSV Eindhoven
2021-10-04€3.5MPSV Eindhoven
2022-01-05€2.5MPSV Eindhoven
2022-06-08€2.8MPSV Eindhoven
2022-11-02€3.5MFC Lorient
2023-06-27€3.5MFC Lorient
2023-12-18€3.5MFC Lorient
2024-06-03€3MFC Lorient
2024-12-04€3MFC Lorient
2025-06-02€3MFC Lorient
2025-12-15€3MFC Lorient
2026-06-01€2.5MFC Lorient

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.071

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Ligue 1423 players · median €5M

Valued above 24% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 64% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Mvogo appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).