Jasper
Cillessen
GKNetherlands · NEC Nijmegen
Player dossierEredivisie
JasperCillessen
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- NEC Nijmegen
- League
- Eredivisie
- Nationality
- Netherlands
- Age
- 37
- Height
- 187 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Cillessen at €300k. Model A, which never saw Cillessen during training, estimates €194k: the market value is 55% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.55. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €96k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 35
- Minutes
- 2,973
- Started
- 35/35
- Min / app
- 85
- Cards
- 1Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Cillessen…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €300k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Aug 2010
- Peak
- €20M
- Jul 2018
- Model target
- €300k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 40
- 6 club changes
May 2026: €300k, NEC Nijmegen. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2010-08-20 | €50k | NEC Nijmegen |
| 2010-08-25 | €75k | NEC Nijmegen |
| 2011-01-17 | €900k | NEC Nijmegen |
| 2011-06-22 | €1.3M | NEC Nijmegen |
| 2011-09-03 | €3M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2013-01-09 | €2.5M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2013-05-28 | €2.8M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2014-02-11 | €5M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2014-08-11 | €8M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2015-02-16 | €8M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2015-07-01 | €11M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2016-02-05 | €12M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2016-07-15 | €12M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2017-01-24 | €12M | FC Barcelona |
| 2017-06-05 | €9M | FC Barcelona |
| 2018-01-01 | €9M | FC Barcelona |
| 2018-05-30 | €9M | FC Barcelona |
| 2018-07-12 | €20M | FC Barcelona |
| 2018-10-31 | €18M | FC Barcelona |
| 2018-12-21 | €18M | FC Barcelona |
| 2019-06-11 | €18M | FC Barcelona |
| 2019-12-20 | €18M | Valencia CF |
| 2020-04-08 | €14.5M | Valencia CF |
| 2020-07-23 | €12M | Valencia CF |
| 2020-10-08 | €10M | Valencia CF |
| 2021-01-05 | €6M | Valencia CF |
| 2021-03-19 | €5M | Valencia CF |
| 2021-05-27 | €5M | Valencia CF |
| 2021-12-30 | €4M | Valencia CF |
| 2022-06-03 | €3M | Valencia CF |
| 2022-11-11 | €3M | NEC Nijmegen |
| 2023-06-23 | €2.5M | NEC Nijmegen |
| 2023-12-15 | €1.5M | NEC Nijmegen |
| 2024-05-31 | €1.3M | NEC Nijmegen |
| 2024-10-11 | €1M | UD Las Palmas |
| 2024-12-27 | €900k | UD Las Palmas |
| 2025-06-09 | €800k | UD Las Palmas |
| 2025-10-02 | €500k | NEC Nijmegen |
| 2025-12-02 | €300k | NEC Nijmegen |
| 2026-05-28 | €300k | NEC Nijmegen |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.438
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Eredivisie425 players · median €1M
Valued above 8% of the 425 Eredivisie players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 15% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Cillessen appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- HoltbyCMNAC Breda · Eredivisie€300k
- LinssenCFNEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie€300k
- NauberCBGo Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie€300k
- ViergeverCBFC Utrecht · Eredivisie€300k
- MüllerGK1.FC Heidenheim 1846 · goalkeepers€300k
- NigmatullinGKRubin Kazan · goalkeepers€300k
- MiguelGKReal Betis Balompié · goalkeepers€300k
- PaschalakisGKOlympiacos Piraeus · goalkeepers€300k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).