Hendrik VanCrombrugge

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club: KRC Genk
League: Pro League
Nationality: Belgium
Age: 33
Height: 189 cm
Foot: Left
Valued: 4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Crombrugge at €900k. Model A, which never saw Crombrugge during training, estimates €585k: the market value is 54% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.54. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €739k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).

Apps: 37
Minutes: 3,330
Started: 37/37
Min / app: 90
Cards: 2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Crombrugge…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €900k

Checking API

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

16% this player0% goalkeeper median81st percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●86%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation: €100k; Jul 2011
Peak: €7M; Mar 2020
Model target: €900k; Jun 2026
Valuations: 30; 3 club changes

Jun 2026€900kKRC GenkValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €900k, KRC Genk. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table

Date	Market value	Club
2011-07-11	€100k	Sint-Truidense VV
2014-08-28	€300k	KAS Eupen
2015-05-16	€350k	KAS Eupen
2016-02-07	€350k	KAS Eupen
2016-07-15	€350k	KAS Eupen
2017-01-21	€500k	KAS Eupen
2017-03-30	€800k	KAS Eupen
2017-06-06	€1.2M	KAS Eupen
2018-01-09	€1.5M	KAS Eupen
2018-06-03	€1.8M	KAS Eupen
2018-12-27	€1.5M	KAS Eupen
2019-03-04	€1.8M	KAS Eupen
2019-06-10	€2.5M	KAS Eupen
2019-09-06	€3.5M	RSC Anderlecht
2019-12-13	€6M	RSC Anderlecht
2020-03-30	€7M	RSC Anderlecht
2020-04-08	€5.5M	RSC Anderlecht
2020-10-16	€6.5M	RSC Anderlecht
2021-06-07	€6M	RSC Anderlecht
2022-01-06	€5.5M	RSC Anderlecht
2022-04-12	€5.5M	RSC Anderlecht
2022-11-04	€4M	RSC Anderlecht
2023-03-22	€2.5M	RSC Anderlecht
2023-06-09	€2.5M	RSC Anderlecht
2023-12-19	€1.8M	KRC Genk
2024-06-04	€1.5M	KRC Genk
2024-12-11	€2M	KRC Genk
2025-06-12	€1.7M	KRC Genk
2025-12-10	€1.7M	KRC Genk
2026-06-04	€900k	KRC Genk

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group: UEFA
Population gap, Model A: +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A: +0.431

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 27% of the 350 Pro League players.

See them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 45% of the 485 goalkeepers.

See them in the Explorer →

Where Crombrugge appears

TerminalPro League in the Player Explorer
TerminalPro League on the League Landscape

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).