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Portrait of Fabian Schär

Fabian

Schär

CBSwitzerland · Newcastle United

№ 135343Established €2.5M +0.46

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

FabianSchär

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Newcastle United
League
Premier League
Nationality
Switzerland
Age
34
Height
186 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Schär at €4M. Model A, which never saw Schär during training, estimates €2.5M: the market value is 58% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.58. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €406k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.46A €2.5M▲ +2.29B €406k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
58
Minutes
4,585
Goals
5
Assists
0
Started
50/58
Min / app
79
Cards
12Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Schär…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €4M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €4MModel A €2.5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Fabian Schär's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 87th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 77th, Starts 59th, Minutes, last 365 days 41st, European club minutes 64th87thGoals17thAssists77thMinutes59thStarts41stRecent64thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.10 this player0.03 defender median87th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jan 2010
Peak
€16M
Dec 2019
Model target
€4M
Jun 2026
Valuations
41
4 club changes
Jun 2026€4MNewcastle UnitedValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €4M, Newcastle United. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2010-01-12€50kFC Wil 1900
2011-01-17€250kFC Wil 1900
2011-06-15€300kFC Wil 1900
2012-01-10€350kFC Wil 1900
2012-06-21€500kFC Wil 1900
2013-01-05€900kFC Basel 1893
2013-04-14€2.5MFC Basel 1893
2013-04-26€5MFC Basel 1893
2013-06-17€5MFC Basel 1893
2013-11-26€6MFC Basel 1893
2014-02-14€8MFC Basel 1893
2014-09-12€8MFC Basel 1893
2015-06-18€8MFC Basel 1893
2015-10-16€4.5MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2016-02-15€4MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2016-06-01€4MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2016-07-22€4.5MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2017-02-07€3.5MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2017-06-19€2.5MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2018-01-01€3MDeportivo de La Coruña
2018-05-30€3MDeportivo de La Coruña
2018-12-19€4MNewcastle United
2019-03-05€7MNewcastle United
2019-06-13€8MNewcastle United
2019-09-12€12MNewcastle United
2019-12-10€16MNewcastle United
2020-04-08€13MNewcastle United
2020-10-13€13MNewcastle United
2021-03-18€12MNewcastle United
2021-05-25€9MNewcastle United
2021-12-23€7MNewcastle United
2022-06-15€7MNewcastle United
2022-09-15€9MNewcastle United
2022-11-03€10MNewcastle United
2023-06-20€10MNewcastle United
2023-12-19€10MNewcastle United
2024-05-27€10MNewcastle United
2024-12-16€9MNewcastle United
2025-05-30€7MNewcastle United
2025-12-09€6MNewcastle United
2026-06-03€4MNewcastle United

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.458

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 16% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€4MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 65% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€4MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Schär appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).