Matty
Kennedy
Player dossierPremiership
MattyKennedy
LWLeft WingerAttack
- Club
- Kilmarnock FC
- League
- Premiership
- Nationality
- Northern Ireland
- Age
- 31
- Height
- 175 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 20 May 2026
PremiershipReading the valuation
The market values Kennedy at €100k. Model A, which never saw Kennedy during training, estimates €190k: the market value is 47% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.90. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 25
- Minutes
- 1,590
- Goals
- 4
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 18/25
- Min / app
- 64
- Cards
- 4Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kennedy…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €100k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
29% this player0% attacker median93rd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Jan 2012
- Peak
- €500k
- Jul 2020
- Model target
- €100k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 28
- 5 club changes
May 2026: €100k, Kilmarnock FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2012-01-09 | €50k | Kilmarnock FC |
| 2012-02-02 | €75k | Kilmarnock FC |
| 2012-07-22 | €150k | Kilmarnock FC |
| 2014-10-01 | €50k | Hibernian FC |
| 2015-02-24 | €100k | Cardiff City |
| 2015-09-24 | €150k | Cardiff City |
| 2016-09-01 | €150k | Cardiff City |
| 2018-08-08 | €150k | St. Johnstone FC |
| 2019-01-03 | €300k | St. Johnstone FC |
| 2019-08-20 | €375k | St. Johnstone FC |
| 2020-02-05 | €450k | Aberdeen FC |
| 2020-04-08 | €350k | Aberdeen FC |
| 2020-07-21 | €500k | Aberdeen FC |
| 2021-01-18 | €450k | Aberdeen FC |
| 2021-06-28 | €450k | Aberdeen FC |
| 2021-12-31 | €450k | Aberdeen FC |
| 2022-06-27 | €450k | Aberdeen FC |
| 2022-12-13 | €400k | Aberdeen FC |
| 2023-03-22 | €450k | Aberdeen FC |
| 2023-06-26 | €400k | Aberdeen FC |
| 2023-12-05 | €350k | Kilmarnock FC |
| 2024-05-30 | €350k | Kilmarnock FC |
| 2024-12-03 | €300k | Kilmarnock FC |
| 2025-06-17 | €300k | Kilmarnock FC |
| 2025-10-08 | €250k | Kilmarnock FC |
| 2025-12-10 | €150k | Kilmarnock FC |
| 2026-03-05 | €100k | Kilmarnock FC |
| 2026-05-20 | €100k | Kilmarnock FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.642
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premiership311 players · median €400k
Valued above 7% of the 311 Premiership players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 1% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Kennedy appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- BainGKFalkirk FC · Premiership€100k
- ShinnieDMAberdeen FC · Premiership€100k
- WilsonCBLivingston FC · Premiership€100k
- HoltCMSt. Johnstone FC · Premiership€100k
- KaracaRWAlanyaspor · attackers€100k
- KramerCFRKC Waalwijk · attackers€100k
- ArabiCFFC Nantes · attackers€100k
- ViscaRWTrabzonspor · attackers€100k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).